RogueWaves

Lived in S. Bend at that time and used to read Skilling in the Chicago Tribune. About a week out, his map showed a "potential storm" with a blob of 2" qpf covering the region around southern tip of Lk. Michigan. I remember thinking that I'd never seen that much moisture with a snowstorm before and wasn't sure if it was a mis-print lol. Unfortunately I went out of town visiting that weekend and missed most of the actual storm. Came home at the tail end and had to dig my driveway out of 20" depth. Had a drift about 40" on my back deck. Just north into Berrien Cnty where I worked, it was at least 24" due to a bit of follow-on LES as the low headed north. That's the last CAT-5 bliz that I've had the pleasure to experience firsthand. I used to have some "special alert text" from the NWS that high-lighted the potential for up to 27" amounts for SWMI but can't remember where I saved it.

Historically snowy November. 3rd all-time here with 15.1", and 1st place all-time just west in Battle Creek at 24.1" Otherwise, what Hoosier posted sums it up nicely. Hope all are enjoying nice holidays despite the lack of real snow this Dec.

And those of us east really, really need that to stem the weenie melt-down watches

LOL, was just thinking the same. In a good stretch, it's pretty much seamless

Some far NW parts of Indiana look a LOT like Michigan because, well, it used to be Michigan. We gifted it to them so they could have a sea port on Lake Michigan, thus that region is known as "Michiana" PS- Hope your visit to The Mitt was a nice time

16.0z GFS was a nice snow improvement, then 16.12z goes warm and makes a bunch of rainers for most of us LAT 40N and below. Was so hoping that the 0z run was the beginning of improved cold air injection into the Friday cyclone. A huge "sigh" at our December luck lately. Aside from '83, '00, and perhaps '09 I can't remember too many solidly cold-n-snowy Dec's for the Lwr Lakes. Seems it's a very rare commodity

It looks even better via the FV3. It's another thermal thd a needle RN->SN perhaps, but I'd take it over nada

Hoping for more moisture-laden systems than we had that year.

Hoping to double my month-to-date snow total with tomorrow's wave. I need 0.8" ..wish me luck

From your lips to deaf gov ears, sadly

ICON joins GEM in showing at least a little accum's. Especially friendly to OK and NWAR where it's showing spotty purple amt's. Will be a LOL moment if this trended to a decent hit for somebody.

I guess, large doesn't necessarily mean strong or heavy. But by comparison, we had a 992 mb SLP that didn't throw snow that far into the cold sector. Either way, wouldn't hear any complaints outta this guy if it verified

I think it's been on it's own with that solution, tho correct me if I'm wrong.

Dude, you have your opinion. Fine. We all do. My post merely stated facts, nothing else. Wasn't a sales pitch for him or you. Move on pls

Massive precip shield for a (check that) 1005 mb SLP. Yeah, right GFS

Yeah, I've watched my local grid-cast icons steadily switch from a bunch of rain showers to more and more flakes. We're really not torching, so some snow could happen. December '02 (Bastardi's parallel season to this one) even featured a very nice snowstorm right on Christmas Day during the middle of that "pull-back"

7th straight day BN. It's not a warm pattern, just a boring pattern. I don't need or want mega cold(er) if there's no decent snow fall involved.

Always tough to know if you're talking about home in SEMI, or your place in the Northland? Just looked at the last five Dec 20-27th's here in Marshall. He's correct in saying the vast majority have sucked. Last year started with 4 warm days and bare ground by the 23rd, but another brown Christmas was avoided by the system snow that began on the 24th and peaked on Christmas Day. I measured snow all four days 24-27th and actually for an 11 day stretch every day featured at least some snow to measure. One of the better stretches of last season. Ofc, 2016 we started that period with a nice snow cover but were above freezing every day leading up to the torch-off on the 26th. '14 & '15 were dumpster fire bad. Even 2013 lost traction during that period. Some light snows kept Christmas from being totally brown, but we were down to piles again until the New Years storm.

Those two are on my analog list, and '86 was in the running, so there's certainly precedent to add another one. This could be yet another year where Nov and Dec decide to trade places.

"Watch and warning map looks interesting.. even DTX pulled the trigger on a warning. GRR will be updating and issue a warning after 6” has fallen and there’s been 200 accidents CWA-wide haha." THIS! Different holiday, same dumb-a$$ b-players at the helm. This hard hitting wet snow is the worst to drive in. The impacts will exceed most events the 94 corridor has witnessed in quite some time. I wish I could laugh along with you, but I commute out there and don't like to see people unawares

Krazy isn't it?

It's 10:1 but most models at 0z have 6-10 across SWMI. Only GFS is a near miss with the 6+ line

Two vastly different storms imho. Dec 2000 was a legit bliz in a cold regime autumn. 2015 was a wet dumping during 3 days of winter surrounded by torch autumn. This storm is the opposite here at least. A 3 day warm spell surrounded by BN regime autumn.

That's what we SHOULD'VE been unnder since the models were at least equally split with a south track option. BUT, good ole GRR office leans on the NA models and ignores their own am write-up concerns with their watch box placement.

Reminds me more of 12-11-00 which did much better west (OMA) all the way to DTX's zone