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Everything posted by RogueWaves
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Already pumping the basement after Thu/Fri delivered 1.5+ here. The two worst floods since living here (Aug '08) were the already mentioned hurricane remnant in Sept of '08 and ofc just 2 years ago in Feb 2018 when the Kzoo river valley set record flood levels due to the heavy rain on top of rapid melt-off of that deep snow pack. Autumn of 2016 (or was it 2015?) was also bad now that I think of it. Just too damned much flooding lately. Tired of drying my basement so often. It's been beyond ridiculous but as said "it's what we do"
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Accurate for mby. Splotches of above avg around the state (how'd Genesee Cnty do so well??) but noticeable that a lot of the UP ended up so-so after a very strong first half.
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Back when Pure Michigan was an extension of tornado alley (1950-1985), we had legit severe storms. Great interactive presentation on the 40th anniversary of the twister that made an incredibly pin-pointed strike on downtown K'zoo. Dr. Fujita's son actually contributed to this: https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapJournal/index.html?appid=4ab7acf6be0440df9029fc7267fa21b0
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Which have been good to great for the Lwr Lakes iirc. Expectations were certainly high for a much better outcome.
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In that related article on the interview with HHS director Azar, he was asked why the death toll has been so much higher here in America? His answer was that so many of us are not in good health to begin with and are easy prey for any such wave of illness. BUT, don't tell Peeps it's their fault. No! Can't have that, after all our healthcare system relies heavily on all these societal diseases for a lot of their day-to-day business. Not only should we not blame them, but we shouldn't educate them on what not to do either (other than smoking ofc which finally has been called out as an industry of unhealthy addiction).
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May 13-19 Severe/Heavy Rain threats
RogueWaves replied to Tim from Springfield (IL)'s topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yep. And utter BS it is. My CAT-5 bliz during the 3rd week of May in rainer form. May was my fave month but this year has severely tarnished it's image. Horrid cold snow and freezes followed by all this flooding crap. Can it get any worse? (don't answer that) Here comes my 3+" qpf mega-storm.. -
Odd yes wrt the lack of formal watches but there have been TORs. Shiawasee county twister a year or two back for instance.
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"Infectious dosage" Back in 1918 pandemic they tried every way possible to prove exposure=automatic illness. Every attempt failed. There was no such thing as guaranteed transmission. Apparently if your immunity was decent you weren't likely to become a victim.
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2:35 am hit 27F
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May 2020 cold snap; record cold, possible snow?
RogueWaves replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Guessing the summer of 1816 featured a bunch of freakish situations like that. Plummeted to 27F here last night before the cloud deck rolled in and temps shot back up for a while before falling to freezing again towards morning. Freeze Warning in effect but temp is still a comfy 35F attm -
In a twist of irony, the shutdown to "save the medical establishment" in the short term is now in jeopardy of hosing that same medical industry which is suffering real financial hardship and going broke here in "perpetual corona hell" Michigan. Somebody has finally woken up to the fact and yet another lawsuit was filed to re-open business. https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2020/05/health-care-groups-sue-governor-claim-michigan-coronavirus-curve-flattened-and-call-emergency-orders-unconstitutional.html
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Under 40 are typically single. So in your world, all guys go buzz, lol. l need mine cut every 5-6 wks and it wasn't cut just prior to shutdown, so I'm really needing a trim on the backside. Can tackle the rest ok and have been.
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Interesting chart that gives you an idea of how C-19 stacks up against other outbreaks. The pink rectangle is the "range" expected. Final numbers TBD ofc. It could be as low as equivalent to the seasonal flu, but likely higher. And certainly more contagious.
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Wow! Yeah, you've been living in a golden era for Motown=Snowtown
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Spring/Summer 2020 Medium & Long Range Discussion
RogueWaves replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Still, I loathe these 30+ degree "flips" in high temps. Every spring seems to go this way as of late. -
Technically, that's correct ofc. What I meant was compared to the 50 Million estimated deaths (some say higher) of the 1918 pandemic, the lethalness hasn't reached the levels that impact the societal psyche like that. A parallel comparison might be WW2 and the Vietnam conflict. Everyone was impacted by WW2 in some direct way. Nasso much with Vietnam. Meanwhile, "incidental deaths" in Michigan are up, and substantially so do the fear of encountering C-19 if you go anywhere near a hospital ER. https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2020/05/michigan-coronavirus-crisis-causes-delays-in-other-health-care-sometimes-with-deadly-consequences.html
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And when a goat and a piece of fruit can test "positive", it calls into question just what being positive for C-19 really means? Those two medical doctors in California that arranged an interview with their local TV station said the numbers were pointing towards a 99.97% likelihood of SURVIVING the virus (for healthy people ofc). I know there are plenty here who have bought into the fear factor hook line and sinker. But this qualifying as a "pandemic" has never passed the sniff test in my opinion. CBS news even staged a line-up of vehicles in Grand Rapids to make it seem worse since there weren't that many people seeking a test when they arrived with their filming crew. I was passing through Hesperia (WMI) yesterday and decided to grab some wine from their local supermarket. The only people with masks were elderly, and the workers (some of which just pulled them up around the old folks) like my cashier. To that stat wrt the Midwest not wearing masks as much as southerners, maybe outside the major cities there's some truth to it.
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May 2020 cold snap; record cold, possible snow?
RogueWaves replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Negative. So 22F it is. Still stupid cold for this time of spring. And here's your typical wx map for mid-spring -
May 2020 cold snap; record cold, possible snow?
RogueWaves replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I ofc, was a young dude living in Genesee Cnty that winter and not only did the mid-November bliz and subsequent clipper lay down a surprising amount of snow for so early, it stayed cold afterwards similar to this past Nov. I was able to get my snowmobile out and would've ridden quite a bit except it was having some issues running so that got foiled (wasn't expecting to run it before late Dec, lol). Dec and Jan were both decent for snow cover and cold, but as you mentioned, there was a significant thaw/warm spell in January that ended with yet another 2 foot bliz for NMI. We had some wicked S winds during that event which destroyed an old metal shed I had inherited with my place. That sticks out in my memory. There was even a confirmed TOR somewhere in CMI that afternoon. Extremely strong bombing SLP that must've been right over lower MI. Just enough north of the November track to keep SMI out of the backside snow unfortunately. I moved to Traverse that September, and got to hear all the stories of how Peeps were stranded at work that day. Was prolly a lot like the March 5th, 2012 storm for that region but with stronger winds. -
May 2020 cold snap; record cold, possible snow?
RogueWaves replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Crazy. Last evening I could see elevated Lake Effect SHSN but it was not reaching the ground around here. You must have gotten some help from that system over your way? -
May 2020 cold snap; record cold, possible snow?
RogueWaves replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
22F here about 6:30 per the airport unit. Possible at the 6 hour summary, we had a 21F in between 20 min OBS. Waiting to see. Surprisingly little frost apparent here in town tho. Just a hint on the back lawn. I expected everything to be solid white. In the meantime, I'm running lamps under covers to keep some early decorative flowers from being a waste of stimulus $$ -
At least in this article, they use more proper terminology. Other headlines just pin it all on C-19. Not only was he up in years, his 2003 stroke during a performance caused their tiger to bite and drag him like dead prey off the stage, causing severe and lasting injuries including the main artery that supplied his brain with oxygen. Another quite compromised individual (who happened to be famous) pushed over the edge. They even admit he was responding well to treatments (tho fail to state what those were). The MSM hype machine is like a dog on a bone with this and won't let go until every last person is running scared. IMO, they are paid hacks. Paid/controlled to generate a narrative of fear. Fear will steal your will and when you lose your will, your freedoms soon follow. Don't fall for it! Use discernment and pull the curtain back on MSM outlets to find "the rest of the story" and most importantly, the unbiased truth.
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May 2020 cold snap; record cold, possible snow?
RogueWaves replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Toured the western U.P. (the one and only time) that following July of '90 where they'd had 14+" IIRC. Peeps were still talking about the huge May snowstorm even then. Spent the night in Munising. Stepped out to 37F and a very frosted car in mid-July! From firsthand experience, 1989-90 was a much better winter for most of the Mitt except perhaps far SEMI. I'd say only Detroit's historic storm this past Nov was on par. Oddly, the one corner of the state NOT slammed by the Nov '89 blizzard. Wx will even itself out over time.. -
May 2020 cold snap; record cold, possible snow?
RogueWaves replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yep. Cold spring after the super Nino that winter. The cold pattern then yielded to one of the warmest summers of the 80's. A beautiful beach-n-boat season. If only we could repeat that this year. Not holding my breath tho. Btw, Happy Birthday (tomorrow)! -
Don't forget how this scare was propped-up with model forecasts. Some will say those crazy high numbers coulda-woulda-shoulda happened minus lock-down, to which I give you AR and any other place that didn't jump into panic mode. Those same models used to strike fear that there'd be no ice left in the Arctic. Pfft