RogueWaves

I was responding to someone's post about snow in OH. This map shows 45F soils up to KIND, and that was Saturday. Prior to this mini-torch. I'm sure they've come up with record temps yesterday, and another warm day today.

Because it wasn't for "this far north". My original post was regarding middle IN & OH. Winter's been absent there. At least the last 2 weeks have been decent up here north of the brew curtain.

Major, and I mean MAJOR shift back NW by the GGEM. LOL, the 12z was a complete whiff S

Yeah, the LES making it into SEMI was rare in my youth there too. There was the Feb '85 event when the Low stalled N of Superior and spun for 2 days. East of KFNT at my folk's place we had 4-6" of ice cold pixies. More commonly, we would get squalls around Genesee Cnty that would drop 1 or 1.5" in short order, then the sun would come back out. Those I do remember as the better LES hits.

GFS has back-stepped after leading the SE and weaker charge. GoFigureSh*t out model.

@ ICON Nothing like whiffs S to rainer, lol

I see the ICON still hasn't gotten the memo that things have trended SE and underwhelming

Contrast? Wat contrast?

Top 1/2" will cool down ofc. Going off somebody's post from down that way saying he has 49F soil temps currently. Not like it's going down below zero prior to the incoming snow.

Mine just succumbed to the sunny and 51F today. The mix slab lasted 15 days most of which was hostile. This was from the one event that not only fell in a short time, but overnight on a weekend so as not to get all trashed by traffic. Most piles left are of a pure whiteness that's rare around here. Usually all the LES dabs ensure constant salting and whenever there's a melt-off everything turns a nasty grey. This has been unique. Reminds me of my yrs in NMI

Coming on 50F soils tho, it'll be more like an April event. Tough "open" winter around the Lwr Lakes.

Was my concern all day...now confirmed. 2-4 incher, and onto SPRING!

^^ The great OHV snow year

But, just for fun since, I mean, how often do you see a 972 mb Low where Uncle Ukie's flashing one? Ukie's trying to make this a rideable super LR call

Agree 100% As someone said, the new and improved models have taken all the fun out of storm tracking known in former times and wx boards. The way it is right now, might as well just have general discussion thread(s) until it's game-time, then whip out an Obs thread and call it good. Nobody (even ALEK) can feel confident of a call or even allowing self to get pumped for an event. Explains the lack of enthusiasm and posts.

^^ Donut hole living. Best Climo! Seriously tho. A legit chance for a decent snowstorm for many of us, and this thread's dead?

It's been the winter of random surprise snows. Congrats out there. Wish this little wave could win over my way tomorrow, but day time temps seem too marginal for anything but mood flakes. Can always hope for rates to excel

Yeah, that's what generated those crazy amts and I'm quite sure it's the most snow shown for SMI on one of these LR maps. Back in 2014 we regularly saw GFS (and other) maps showing areas from here west getting 24+ in a 15 day period, but never 45" lol. Obviously, KLAN didn't end up with half of their 45" this month. In contrast, just about every one of those weenie run maps verified 6 yrs ago this month (and into Feb as well). Let's just hope this final stretch of Met winter delivers something for SMI. 31.0z Op GFS has a nice look for us

In case you missed the map dates, that's not the future, that's back to the future (1/9 to 1/25). I posted it in response to all the hype that certain GFS snow maps are generating as if they can be trusted, lol. Of the (3) big systems included in that time-frame, only the 17-18th was a decent snowstorm and even that one was a slab of mush due to ZR & RN. All others were rainers/mix joke systems. As we witnessed here north of the Mitt border, when cold shows up to play, we get the white gold. Otherwise, it's a no-go for snow. Perhaps this next 3 week stretch the cold does actually show up? If not, more false-flag snow maps from the GFS for my archive. Don't look at today's CPC temps maps for Feb unless you want to be disappointed. Cold shows up, and we party. Cold fails once again, and we all cry for an early spring..

The same as this active look?

IF tons of Warning headlines for the 11-12th can go up in complete flames, nothing is beyond the reach of this wretched winter. Not to be a buzz-kill, but these models were not up to the "multi-wave test" thrown at them just recently. Who's to say this doesn't end up similarly?

^^^ a staged "race of 1" -cute

Like the (4) in recent times, uh yeah! I'd go nuts myself. Can't speak to 52-53, but the other (4) were good to great around here so that's really surprising. 2011-12 was the worst here at a DAB below normal.

2 day streak AOB 32F will likely end tomorrow. Not a happy camper with a 47F in my grid. Be back down to piles only if that verifies.

SOME??