RogueWaves

Nah, some north, some south. A meet in the middle works. Can we get back to this tho is the question?

Nice trend on the GEFS, let's hope it's legit.

Thx to a 2" score today, I'm already beating last Dec's total. And, I'm at 20% of my seasonal avg on 12/10. Amazing what looking out on nice white ground can do for one's perception of the young winter. The holiday cheer-O-meter saw a big spike today.

Could it really be any worse? Just going off climo at our latitude would fulfill that statement. But yeah, I agree, somebody's bound to score post-15th. Just tough to say who right now.

Most upbeat post from you I can remember. Must be the holidays!

It is, followed by windy SHSN which even per the GFS's own output amounts to very little south of NMI snow belts. I wish the models would just quit already with the teases.

Yay! Thx for the good news..tho not surprised.

Euro won't "let go the bone" on a GOMEX Low next Friday

Nah..ride it!

Christmas Eve 2014 was plagued with this same lack of true cold air and didn't produce much south of Canada! This is at least "trying", tho as you say, it's still fantasy range attm.

This would be such a kick to the junk! Ideal path west of the Apps, just to be lacking decent cold. Rub your's rabbit's foot, feet, or whatever works to keep this from happening!

My office hitting the LES potential next Tue-Thu pretty hard. With any luck, I could get a period of favorable fetch somewhere in that time-frame and add some bonus amts.

2013 to date vs current season to date comparison. Looks to my tired eyes that we be out-pacing at this early stage: 2013-14 Season. Yeah, I could do 8+ feet again

Sounds like my winter of 1994 in NMI. I totally get it

Will be a sad day in the wx world if nothing noteworthy comes of such an arctic intrusion as being depicted. Seems like something would take advantage of such a dynamic movement in the upper levels.

True dat, sadly.

I'd be real leery of getting burned by a d10 suppression scenario off the GFS - just sayin'. But ok, Memphis is going from zero winter to 2 feet..

Chicago officially jinxed - TWC likes you for the Mon-Tue storm..

It still has it's known biases. But, at least they're a known quantity, lol. It should be catching on any day now. I like the GEFS current projection. Need a little slower, a little more phasing, and a little less cutting of the SLP and I'll be in the game.

We really need some snow threats around here, and fast!

Euro drumming up an OHV special 12-13th ish

I think your post over there in his thread was dead-on for Chicago, it's a 50-50 dice toss going forward after such a snowy pre-season. My gut tells me that while ENSO/SST/Oscillations are indeed less than stellar verbatim, some items he mentions may indeed come through in the end. One of significance being the MJO. Notably here, 4 of the last 7 Novembers have had BIG snow totals against my 1.2" long-term avg. Sometimes in one huge storm, other times in multiple lesser events. During that same 7 years, 3 Dec's have been complete "no shows", but I've also scored 3 huge Dec's with 2019 looming as the "tie breaker" thus a microcosm of your analog list for Chi-town snowy winters. I won't say this December will make or break the entire winter, but it could go a long ways toward helping this winter stand out from the crowd.

SSW gone wrong, sigh..

Best case scenario is that a weaker lead wave could tug the thermal boundary south enough enough so the main wave ejects further south.

Yep, fun week even if we're not in the snowy side (most of us)