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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. I’m sure they will be changeable, but as someone said, until we get evidence close in it is a safer bet to bet on milder. Appreciate your posts and look forward to updates.
  2. Sunday probably a cold rain for the big cities. We’ll keep watching after that to see if we can finally get the pattern to cooperate. Feels good to at least be tracking chances again.
  3. Indeed. At THIS point of time, but they could still change. Hope you are right that we get at least one good month.
  4. I definitely think there would be more congregating in warm weather (Thanksgiving is a big travel holiday) and I disagree even more about Christmas. I never want a warm Christmas.
  5. I hope we can make it at least close to average as a warm Thanksgiving isn’t much use with the COVID increases. People shouldn’t be out traveling.
  6. That is when we really start wanting it to get colder anyway. I always want a snowy winter and cold holiday season, but it wouldn’t be the worst thing this year to have a mild winter if it helps with COVID.
  7. I’m talking about 90 degree temps and near 90
  8. Do you think the worst of the heat is over? I kind of doubt we stay all fall feeling but perhaps we can be more normal.
  9. I hope it is right. Haven’t had many breaks this summer. I am not sure the warm pattern lasts past mid month. And at least then, even warmer days have less 90s potential.
  10. I don’t think they would stop suddenly, but it may be harder to get the cold periods needed for snow. Climate change doesn’t mean something won’t occur, but the frequency is different. Winter tracking won’t be as fun if COVID spikes during the winter and there’s no vaccine. Hope everyone stays safe.
  11. Yeah there have been so many 90s here that a 100 couldn’t hurt anything.
  12. I just can’t agree. The heat has always bothered me more than the cold. I guess you could say winter storms can be as destructive as summer storms, but I like snow more than rain. I get that some just like exciting weather, though. I hope that the pattern change comes soon as it has been hot since the end of June. Hopefully by end of August or September. Beyond mid-August, we’re still pretty much guessing.
  13. Yesterday was the worst it had been in a long time. We got scary straight line winds in Upper Providence here. Wasn’t as strong as in other locations, though. My power was out from 12:30 to soon after midnight. I was happily surprised because the message said it would be back 12 PM on June 4.
  14. I am fine with an warm spring if there is no more snow coming. Plus, maybe the warmth would help with the Coronavirus threat.
  15. A while ago, Cosgrove used to be on one of the Philly stations. I always liked how he went in depth when giving his forecast. I learned more than the usual. I could tell he liked snow, and if he is negative about it then it seems worth a listen. Still hopeful we have a window late month into early March.
  16. Well I have given up on salvaging winter, but I suppose we could still get snow, especially near the end of the month. I really worried when Feb. started bad.
  17. That may be our last window for a decent chance. Though we have seen March snow quite a few times in recent years.
  18. The GFS is determined to keep us from giving up.
  19. As usual the GFS looks best at the end of the run. It has been meaningless at that stage.
  20. I certainly would not stop tracking - this is one of our hobbies and it is still possible in an active pattern that something produces - but I definitely am not taking anything seriously until it gets to around 5 days or less.
  21. I think Allsnow is correct - when you need so much to go right on the models to give us snow, we should temper expectations. Still, it is nice to finally have a chance, and there look to be more chances after..
  22. So pretty to look and better get a good look - the 0z could be all rain the way things flip. I am happy that a consistent long range window seems to be showing up.
  23. The totality of things still look good, but it is something we will watch to see if it is a trend.
  24. I am not sold on a warm pattern lasting through Halloween. I personally think we get a period of below normal lasting more than a few days. How about those Yankees! I am a Phillies fan, but my grandmother who I was very close to used to root for the Yankees. So I have never minded them.
  25. Hi, Snow11 - thanks for adding me as a friend. I'm doing pretty well - how about you? Have a great Thanksgiving. Hope we get our first snow soon after.

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