Chicago WX

They’re getting pounded. Read their AFD and they had the highest amounts in the south metro KC, but looks like the entire metro is getting slammed.

12z RGEM went wild, sort of. Especially just to my southwest. Agree with Alek that’s there’s going a relatively narrow jack zone with the fgen banding. Where, who knows…

HRRR on the move back north, with each run, FWIW...

Rip city in Kansas City METAR KMCI 171145Z AUTO 01013KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M07 A3007 RMK P0010 METAR KMCI 171140Z AUTO 01018KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M07 A3005 RMK P0009 METAR KMCI 171135Z AUTO 01018G25KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M07 A3004 RMK P0007 METAR KMCI 171130Z AUTO 01017G22KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M07 A3005 RMK P0006 METAR KMCI 171125Z AUTO 01016KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M07 A3004 RMK P0006 METAR KMCI 171120Z AUTO 01023KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M08 A3003 RMK P0005 METAR KMCI 171115Z AUTO 01019KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M08 A3003 RMK P0004 METAR KMCI 171110Z AUTO 02019G24KT 1/4SM +SN VV005 M06/M08 A3003 RMK P0002 METAR KMCI 171105Z AUTO 02020G26KT 1/4SM +SN VV007 M06/M08 A3003 RMK P0002

Think a WWA would suffice for here. Icing looks nil, and with the south bleeding continuing, 2-4” looks like a real solid call. Possible that’s too generous.

Lol, good luck. But not basing it solely off the Euro. Taking all them into consideration, sans the GFS and NAM, leads me to my 4-6”. In some cases, that may be too high.

Global guidance led the way in this one. Selling the American models and going 4-6” final for MBY. Fits right inside LOT’s forecast for IKK.

6z Euro bumped a bit northwest. As did the RGEM. Goal posts narrowing…

I remember when Hoosier found the developmental RUC (old name of the RAP for you young kids) that ran out to 36 hours or something. Him and thundersnow12 posted that sh*t constantly in every storm.

Have to sell the GFS and NAM kuchie numbers. They’re dumping 6 hour totals of 12-18” in spots. 2-3” per hour rates just aren’t going to happen IMO. Really think 8-12” amounts are a good range for LOT’s CWA, wherever that may be. Probably somewhere in the I-88/I-80 corridor. 6z Euro held serve. Battle continues…

Not feeling this one for here. Don't know why. But, if we got another dd storm, it would make for 4* such storms in a little over a year's time IMBY...Jan 30-31, 2021, Feb 14-16, 2021, and Feb 1-3, 2022. Quite a run. *Feb 14-16, 2021 was just shy with 9.5", but we'll round up to make the above sound better.

Yeah, I was kinda surprised. Earlier this morning it was just arctic dust. But then this little enhancement moving through later has been producing really nice dendrites. Pure fluff. Back to the topic at hand, 12z UK and Canadian are not in agreement with the GFS. Still early of course.

Seems to be a sensitive set up versus the last storm, but the 12z GFS is acceptable. On another note, been pounding parachutes at times here for the past hour. Where did this come from? Just gorgeous.

Steady light snow all morning. Prefect mood setter. Roads are still trash around here.

lol, yes. And thanks. I enjoyed it. Of course, any snow is good snow in my book.

Finished with 11.5" here. Wasn't able to do my final measurement until 4:30 (6:00 am first), so maybe there was a bit of settling to deny a footer. Regardless, awesome storm. One of my most challenging days since I started with the PO. Got stuck (and unstuck) 5 times yesterday. Alas, what could have been if earlier runs had part 2 come thru here. Some real nice banding just to my south this morning in Iroquois County. Seems a bit further north than recent models had it. Maybe something like what RC had mentioned in an earlier post.. Actually snowing here right now, albeit lightly. Good luck to those down south and east today...

Working in this right now. A challenge to say the least. Easily over a foot here, so far. Walking thru knee deep snow everywhere. Still snowing…

Puking snow right now. This is great.

5.8" at my CoCoRAHS 6:00 am data entry. Board cleared. First shovel of the driveway done. Wasn't heavy wet snow, but wasn't fluff either. Thinking my 15" call for MBY will be too high, but 12" is attainable.

Couldn't sleep. So I just went out and measured. 4.8". Must have dumped since the flip. Mod snow and 27˚ currently at mi casa.

GHD II started as rain. Don’t how much though…

Ain’t what she used to be.

FWIW, 18z 3km nam was an improvement as well.

50 on the bank clock no doubt