Chicago WX

Trash model. Been lost the whole time.

Caught a break with the high wind warning for here. LOT calling for 65 mph gusts, and we've only managed a few around 32 so far. You know, this area needs all the help we can get with the ongoing recovery. Going to be interesting to see happens with winter part in N IL. Hope to see an inch or two here, which looks like a decent possibility. And this from the blizzard warning text for Green Bay. 2-4"/hour. Awesome. * WHAT...Heavy snow and blizzard conditions expected. Snow, heavy at times with snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour. Additional accumulations between 9 and 13 inches with the lowest totals towards Oshkosh and Chilton. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph will result in considerable blowing and drifting snow and blizzard conditions into Monday. The Monday morning commute will be severely impacted.

To be honest, that's the least of my concerns. Massive clean up ongoing around here from the tornado. Tomorrows winds to 60 mph not going to help. But throw a foot of cement on top of it all, not ideal. Of course snow is my #1, so I'm rooting it on, but just trying to be real.

This would pretty much make this week one of the wildest of my "weather" life.

If it can be useful, certainly pass it along. These are the links to my weather station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KILKANKA33/table/2020-10-21/2020-10-21/daily https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/7bf27a3c338d927765d0080306d7c4a9

This is the graph of my home weather station yesterday. You can see the lake breeze and then the recovery.

lol, yeah. Roofers gonna be making some big money around here. Alas, needed new gutters anyways.

Absolutely. It knocked down a ton of branches though.

Hopefully these have loaded. Posted a few videos to my x account. First one is the hail. Make sure sound is on. Somehow that pool cover made out completely unscathed. Second 2 videos are looking south where the tornado developed. https://x.com/PostalWeather/status/2031699162455060554 https://x.com/PostalWeather/status/2031700079694712924

I feel you. Probably only the second time in my life I felt anxious during a storm (first was Nov 2013 in the LAF). Things happened so quickly here. Watching the radar and thought the core of the cell would miss me to the northwest. Then it developed and right turned. Told my gf to grab the dogs and shelter. Called my dad to tell him to get into the basement. Of course I go out in the back to see it unfolding. Could see (and hear) the rotation/tornado to my south, which I'm guessing was when it first dropped here. My viewpoint wasn't great being in the city, but I had enough to see things get going. Took some video, but it doesn't really show as much. But the hail..just incredible. I posted the photo of a 4" stone here, but there may have been bigger. But when softballs are falling from the sky, you can't be choosy.

Me and you both. I'll take a bad roof and gutters over that.

Violent as fuck. This is looking south on Schuyler Ave (45/52) on the far southside of IKK. This is legit 5 miles from my house. Would have been catastrophic if this moved a bit north through the city. Friends of ours that live on Sandbar Road near Aroma Park say its not pretty. Lots of homes damaged. https://x.com/weatherinNC/status/2031525916313034918

And cars. I just drove around the 'hood. Tons of people tarping windshields, back windows, etc. So far, only noticeable damage at my house is dented gutters..

I live on the Southside. Could see it and hear it passing to my south. Holy sh*t hail. This was the biggest, but lots of baseballs fell as well.

Just realized its been snowing for a little over 24 hours now. Shame 75% of it was sand, but winter vibes are nonetheless high. One of the LES bands making into Kankakee county now.

RAP also picked up on this regeneration/enhancement better than the HRRR. Its done a much better job overall with this system, between the 2 short range models.

It certainly wasn't the GFS

Yeah, surge is here. Big flakes. Really, best snow rates of the entire event. Took me by surprise.

Measured 3.2" a little while ago. Best rates have been this morning. Overall, ratios have been blah, but I think we kinda knew you had to get into good bands to get the fluff. LOT's call of 3-5" was money. Over 30" for the season now IMBY. Looks like winter again. I'm pleased.

Definitely has here as better returns have moved into IKK. It's not parachutes, but actual snowflakes versus sand.

I-N-I !!! Sand accumulating as best as it can do here.

Bingo. If we’re compared short range models, 18z RAP looks to be handling things better.

Light snow has started here.

I think LOT’s call for 3-5” is good. Not sure there’s any room to go beyond unless we get under some banding and ratios really go nuts. I just want some snow to cover the landscape if we’re doing this big cold thing thru next week.

LOT goes WWA for a bigger chunk of the CWA than I expected. IKK zone text has 3-5" total. I guess its part good ratios and then banking on LES closer to the lake. NW ticks been the theme of the models since 18z yesterday. Even the 6z GFS/GEFS came in a bit farther northwest. I mean not wholesale changes, but decent increases on the northern fringes. I guess we'll see.