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Chicago WX

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Everything posted by Chicago WX

  1. Chicago WX
    Indeed. Still coming down at a good clip here. Flake size is pretty good. Looks really nice.
  2. Chicago WX
    Coming down hot and heavy here right now. 18z NAM says we get nothing. What a POS model.
  3. Chicago WX
    Looks like a DAB at best for here with today’s snow. Was hoping for a little uptick, but not seeing it. Should be some decent mood snows at the least...
  4. Chicago WX
    Fairly good agreement on a track near or north of I-80, at this time. ORD to GRB is probably a good guess for a zone of heavier snows right now. For us south of the track, time to close the shades. Maybe peek out on Sunday afternoon or evening, just to make sure. Alas, hopefully rainfall here is light. Don’t want a repeat of the last event here.
  5. Chicago WX
    But for real, I agree with Andy’s last post in the other thread. Think there’s more potential with this system. We watch and wait...
  6. Chicago WX
    StormChaser4Life just threw his computer out the window.
  7. Chicago WX
    Models weren't spitting out these kind of crazy numbers back in Jan 2014, were they? I know they were showing big time cold, but I don't recall this insanity.
  8. Chicago WX
    Here too. Really came down for a time. Roads went to hell quickly. Hoping to squeeze out 1-2" tomorrow.
  9. Chicago WX
    Exact details are foolish to worry about at this range. Just worry if there will be a storm at this point. And the 12z GGEM, as worthless as it is, is a crusher.
  10. Chicago WX
    This is all has taken me by surprise really. Didn’t think it would be this bad. Hope she gets home safely.
  11. Chicago WX
    I was out running some errands and am amazed how all the side streets (non-treated) around here are still fairly ice covered. This with above freezing temps overnight and this morning. Great example of antecedent conditions doing some work. Cold coming back in now. Going to be a fooking disaster with all the standing water.
  12. Chicago WX
    So looking back at the guidance from 3-4 days ago...the Euro, Goofy twins, and Canadian cousins all get F's with their performance of this storm. The Ukie sniffed out the southern trend, yet again. And I guess the NAM's, for the most part. EDIT: actual track went from STL to IKK. The bad models had it thru E IA/NW IL (and further NW with some of the GFS runs) for quite a bit of time.
  13. Chicago WX
    MLI up to 37.6" for the season, thru 6:00 AM this morning. 50"+ season looks very doable/probable...which would make for a top 10 all timer. 1) 69.7" in 1974-75 2) 65.1" in 2013-14 3) 64.0" in 1978-79 4) 61.5" in 1959-60 5) 59.1" in 1996-97 6) 54.1" in 1971-72 7) 51.5" in 2007-08 8) 51.4" in 1911-12 9) 51.2" in 1969-70 10) 49.3" in 1925-26
  14. Chicago WX
    Just wait until it all freezes up again... I'm kinda surprised how much ice is still on the pavement this morning. Truly truly a big mess, and only will get worse.
  15. Chicago WX
    About 4” in my yard. It’s got a nice firm crust on top right now. Hopefully temps don’t get too out of hand overnight...might as well have a glacier.
  16. Chicago WX
    You better believe it. Worst conditions I've worked in yet. Sidewalks, porches, side streets...just a total sh*t show. And it got worse when it got dark. There is no accrual on cars or trees, but with the ground being cold...it's just adding to ground conditions being an ice rink. And all this crap is gonna freeze hard tomorrow. FML.
  17. Chicago WX
  18. Chicago WX
    I wouldn’t be using IKK, ever. Light rain still freezing on contact here. Untreated sidewalks and roads are a skating rink. Trust me, I’m out in it.
  19. Chicago WX
    Think we are pretty much in the clear here are far as any wintry precipitation, but heavy rain will be a concern. Just to our north will be a different story. Probably best to play it safe for her.
  20. Chicago WX
    NAMs are a 33˚ and rainer here, while the Euro torches into the mid 40's. Either way, a lose lose. Going to be a mess with all this rainfall falling on top of the snowpack. Might need to make a few posts in the complaint thread soon...
  21. Chicago WX
    12z Ukie went south. Takes the low over LAF. 99% wrong most likely, but kinda funny.
  22. Chicago WX
    IKK gets LES, but it's usually lighter by the time it gets here. Sloppy seconds I like to call it. Eastern half of the county tends to do better, which I believe is where you're located...right? Best LES event I can recall around here was in the winter of 2013-14. Streamer rode I-57, dropping 4". Of course all it did was snow that winter.
  23. Chicago WX
    I hate to "bash", but at the Winter Storm Warning for IKK. Most of the guidance for here barely has enough snow for an advisory, let alone a warning. Guess the wind component may have been factored in, but it's not like we haven't seen 2" with 30 mph gusts before...not that crazy. Final call of 1-3" for MBY. Euro and Ukie has been rock solid with the sucker hole overtop, and the others have followed suit. Good luck to those up north and south with the big totals.
  24. Chicago WX
    Too much HRRR/RAP love. Those models are crap in their long range. Goal posts for the big snows is between I-80 and the first two rows of southern WI. Seems these set ups like to inch north at game time, but not always. I’d feel pretty good if I was sitting in and around the E/W Tollway.
  25. Chicago WX
    cyclone closing in on his 3rd 6"+ storm of the winter. And another one possibly coming next week? Whatever he's doing, he's doing it right. Pretty amazing. Low confidence call of 2-4" for MBY. Much more confident on the 2 than the 4. Hopefully don't have to downgrade...
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