franklin NCwx

1 hour ago, jrips27 said:

Escalating quickly here

 

 

Yeah NE GA should do really well

2 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

Spaghetti all around, it seems.  Except for @Met1985.  He’s going high class with the ribeye.  

Lol... big time in haywood County. I'll have a big pot of chili tomorrow 

Almost home from Atlanta and wife has spaghetti ready too. When did this turn into the panic thread 

23 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

Boyer just updated totals.

Marshall 1"

Waynesville 5"

Everyone west of the Balsams 1-4"

Most of the higher totals are East of Asheville and around Cashier's and Toxaway

Dude must be hugging the nam. I would go with 4-8 for Graham and swain. 6-12 for Macon and Jackson.  Over 12 for highlands cashiers 

Let Brick start it! It usually does when he starts it

Perfect transfer on the rgem. Solid run!

From GSP... they're not buying the nam.

The mountains, meanwhile are on track for a mostly-snow
forecast.  The warm nose should not penetrate into the Appalachians.
Profiles here appear to remain well-saturated and sub-freezing
through most of the event

3 hours ago, Maggie Ace said:

Good morning folks. It's been enjoyable leading up to the storm. The WPC just updated the Surface Low Track forecast. 

6z rgem lines up well with this track.  And still has snow falling Monday morning!

8 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Ya'll know that in order to cash out on the highest snow totals, you have to be able to smell the rain    Seriously though, good luck everyone!! I hope not to be encased in ice so that I can get out and take some pictures of the winter wonderland

Absolutely! And the sleet

5 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

If any of you guys follow DT / WXRISK on Facebook or Twitter..He's saying short range models are very concerning, coming in much warmer. States the possibility of a lot more Ice and much less snow in all of WNC 

Rgem looked good

Just now, Met1985 said:

Yeah we don't live nor die by one model run. The top dog models have been stellar these past several days.  Hold steady gents. There is a thing as too much model watching. You'll make yourself go crazy.

This!

42 minutes ago, Avdave said:

Told you guys that Brick starts the thread and he jinxed it. I was spot on for this storm.

 

Stop grasping at 240 hr maps, total weenieism

I'll let him start every thread if this is what we get!

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Ouch. Do you have one for my area?

For Morganton it has 2.5 inches of snow with 1.4qpf.  For Asheville it has 5 inches and 1.5 qpf. Probably some big Rainers in that run

Just now, strongwxnc said:

Hoping the backside really comes through


.

Me too

Just now, wncsnow said:

Means the NAM is gonna suck too. Figured it might torch the mid levels even worse than last run..

Probably.  It's dropping 1.5 qpf with 5 inches of snow

SREF plumes look like crap! We toss!

8 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I don't really believe there will be a changeover to sleet or freezing rain in the mountains at the height of the precipitation.  Call me a weenie but it just doesn't look right to me.

I think we have a brief, very light changeover as the low transfers and we lose lift. By that time the heavy forcing has come through with most of the event. Then we wait on the backside upper low to swing thru.

^ nice, thanks!

No 18z euro update?

12 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

This NAM run kinda sucks. Its further south which allows for less moisture with the front end, but still switches over. Will be lower totals. 

It's an improvement over 12z but it's the slowest model and struggling with the transfer 

16 minutes ago, msuwx said:

It’s weird to me how this board can be lit up like a Christmas tree analyzing the Day 8 NAVGEM, but now that a major storm is about to hit many, many people in the region, the post frequency tails off.

Is it because the storm isn’t producing pure snow for many? Eastern NC getting the short end of the stick?

To me, this is pretty easily the most significant winter storm, per capita, in a few years. 

Just the Raleigh crowd.  Mtn thread is lit!

9 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

I think it's simply because most of NC isn't getting pure snow, and half the posters are from here. They checked out and are looking for the next storm.

Most of NC= Raleigh 

Just now, Tigerchick224 said:

I would love to be used at Caesar’s Head for this event. We are in TR about ten minutes south of 11 and I’m banking on at least 6”. We have a huge hill in front of our house my 4 y/o has been itching to sled down.

I always root for my friends south of 85, buddy once again, it is the battleground of the Upstate.


.

Lol...not sure if this was worded correctly. 

Another solid euro run

Rgem handles the transfer much better. Definitely a smoother run with the low