franklin NCwx

1 hour ago, JoshM said:

Since wintry wx seems to be a no go, let's talk about something else, all the foggy nights we've had! I've never seen so many Dense Fog Advisories this close together. Seems like every other night there's some sort of fog.

Live in the southern mtns. You will get a lifetime of rain and fog in just a couple years.

8 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Difference is: it still gets dark at 8 o’clock, Sun is strong, and “cold” then is like 64. 

Maybe where you live.  A cold April here is highs in the 30s with blowing snow that might amount to a couple inches.  A cold may= 40s and rain. I'll happily take 60 and sunny

1 hour ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Here comes early Spring!

More like false spring followed by winter in April and May

13 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

I’m personally pulling for a record breaking SER that cuts the storms through the plains and ends this deluge of water each week. 

We had those patterns back in the mid 2000's. Would take 60 and sunny over this crap!

Should be a decent event for WV

2 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

38 days until met spring 

38 days until cold weather sets in

42 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 It could very well be a mainly dry, cold weekend after next for most of the SE as is quite common with Arctic highs that plunge assuming the plunge occurs. However, NW flow would be favorable for another good upslope mountain event (even if not as good as the great one that just occurred) as the Arctic air comes in and this is on the models. Also, we're still 9-10 days out and there's still plenty of time for change as that's a semi-eternity in model accuracy time as you know.

Some of us only hope for dry. 

10 hours ago, GaWx said:

 I'd like some good rains if we can get them as we're in a typical La Niña generated drought. I'd take 2.3" during just this 10 day period in a heartbeat. But I don't have that much confidence in the Euro or any model out much past 5 days, especially as regards storm tracks/qpf.

I need to move to move to one of these drought prone areas

7 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Continuation of nighttime adventure

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

Awesome pics!

29 minutes ago, Wow said:

I'm up in the Whittier area in a cabin on a little anniversary vacation. Been coming down the past couple hours. Probably 1" or so. Finally timed it just right after 6 years!

Head up to soco gap, that will be your best spot

33 minutes ago, jrips27 said:

I know this isn’t necessarily y’all’s side of the mountains but I’ll be in Gatlinburg at 2900 feet. Hoping for a few inches and maybe a surprise. Good luck to all! 

Good spot to be

41 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

Looks like totals are being cut back since last night's 0z nam run? Correct me if I'm wrong 

You should do well in Graham. 

7 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Good morning! These inversion events that we have we just kill it in temps. Having elevation and living in a bowl helps a lot with these events. Current temp is 21 degrees.  A lot colder than forecasted. 

Still a strong signal for upslope snow. I'd say anywhere from 2-4 inches to 3-6 in the highest elevations. 

Also this squall line that will be blowing through could bring some pretty severe weather with it as well. Possibly high winds and some hail and torrential rainfall. 

It always gets colder when there is no snow in the forcast

1 hour ago, eyewall said:

We are going to be fast approaching "sun angle and soil temp" season by the time there is even a remote chance it feels like. Being completely blanked on the season is on the table.

That started Dec 22.

5 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Bye bye spring especially for us.

Unfortunately it's been that way for a few years.  Mean reversion after those great winters we had a decade ago.

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

 Today's GEFS based forecast for day 14 has slight improvements vs yesterday's forecast from the perspective of someone who prefers that a colder pattern return in late January:

- gets back to a weak +PNA after a -PNA that starts ~1/15

- AO rises to neutral but then falls back to moderately negative; very strong Dec -AO favors sub -1 AO in January. To have a good shot at that, a mainly sub -1 will likely be needed for 1/22-31

- The current moderate to strong +NAO falls back toward neutral

 Regardless of whether or not a BN dominated period returns at some point during the last 10 days of the month, January will almost certainly end up quite a mild month for the SE as a whole and much of the E US. It has a good shot at being one of the warmest nationwide since 1950 from a population weighted heating degree perspective. So, a near normal Dec and a mild January in the SE US. What will February bring? That's the big question. Any educated guesses?

 

Warm February,  below normal March,  April,  and May

Cold, miserable rain continues 

I leave for Florida next Saturday morning.  Hopefully I'll see some snow fall before I leave

Flurries here as well

Pattern looks great for Christmas week! Plenty of chances to score

Just now, Met1985 said:

Yeah me too. At least freaking feel like the holidays for a change. Seems like the last several holidays it's been spring like.

Yeah, unfortunate we have had to endure warm holidays.  

36 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

High temp of 70 today and humid.  Not a great day in my opinion.  We are seeing some slight changes in the pattern around hour 144 on the GEFS. This may bring some snow or may not but we should at least cool down to normal.  Im still looking at December for something more significant. 

Hoping it's cold for Thanksgiving through new years!

1 hour ago, Sw NC weather said:

Bottomed out at 35 this morning and received the first frost of the season.

That's what we had as well

18 hours ago, Brick Tamland said:

The rain and cold sucks. I'm ready for 70s and sunshine. 

Buy a house in North Florida 

1 hour ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Daffodils are really coming up, days are getting exponentially longer and brighter. You can tell the sun angle is progressing more overhead.

.....Spring is at the doorstep.

Had a low of 19 this morning