franklin NCwx

6 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Yeah that's great especially that far south. 

And it's close too. Probably +snow with pincers mixing. The ukie is very similar to the 0z euro run.

Just now, franklin NCwx said:

Ukie is south of the gfs

Seems very similar to the euro

Ukie is south of the gfs

Gfs is a sleet sounding here at 99. Other than that its mostly snow

1 minute ago, Met1985 said:

I like this run a lot better and we may get better solutions yet. 

0z was much better 

Just now, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Yep, I am starting to get a feeling this will be more of a Miller A than the GFS was originally thinking. Trends looking good on 12z for most of NC.

It's cutting into KY this run

Digging a little more compared to 6z

The Icon is the new dgex

8 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:

Here

Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk
 

Thanks! Looks improved from the 18z run.

6 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:

FYI 6z EPS cut the totals again

Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk
 

Maps?

The only issue for the mtns would be the 6z gfs scenario.  Hopefully that is overdone and we go back to the euro solution or 0z gfs. The low cutting up central NC and VA is fine for us.

2 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

The trend on the GFS isn't good in my opinion.  This could still go from a snowstorm to a rainstorm.  We'll have to see what the euro says. 

Unfortunately,  you might be correct 

Lol... almost a  whole page on the icon

3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

The 18z euro was about the same as 12z. It's a touch north and a hair stronger through 90

Thanks. Looks fairly close to its 12z run at 96. Hopefully the 0z is inline with the 12z

Anyone have the 18z euro?

Gefs mean bumped south with the upper low and was a tad slower compared to 12z

2 minutes ago, Wow said:

ensemble mean still has the MSLP just off the coast.. not buying the inland track yet

It's most likely a track in between the two. Similar to the euro

Just now, Met1985 said:

YEP that's what im thinking. It's tight this run. This could end up another MA special..

It actually turns into a big rainstorm for them. Thus baby runs up I-95. It's almost a scaled down version of 93

13 minutes ago, Als23 said:

Any idea on temps? Hopefully more pow than cement. 

Paste bomb! Get the generator ready

5 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Yeah we stay all snow but outside the mountains they are going to struggle with this type setup. The energy needs to stay south some as does the low or we could go to a snow to rain scenario here also... Just a thought for future runs.

 

But the mountains absolutely get hammered again this run.

Few more jogs north early on and we rain.

4 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:

In my opinion, a clear villain emerged from this model suite: This shortwave: 

This shortwave comes in on just about every global and slingshots our ULL to the northeast, which drives it up the coast. In previous runs, this wasn't an issue because our less amped, quicker system was able to outrun this shortwave. However now that everything's slower, the circled shortwave is exerting some influence. If this shortwave wasn't here, I think the ULL would continue to take a more lateral movement through the SE, putting more southern solutions at play. 

I agree, you can tell it's "tugging" it north on every model run.

18 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Woah That Is a Beautiful View!  Could we put a camera there?

I can ask. The train goes past their house too on the way to Nantahala 

Bets on the euro? I bet it comes in between the ukie and gfs/cmc

17 minutes ago, Hvward said:

If everything goes correctly over the next two days I should add a downtown Hendersonville and a downtown Bryson City live camera before the storm hits. Prayers to my It guy.

You need one here in fontana lake estates so we can see the park

Ukie is south