franklin NCwx

Nam is bullish on the next storm!

3 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Maybe the upper level low got tired of us complaining about how wet it’s been lately

Lol...try living in the southern mtns. 100 inches a year seems the norm now

1 minute ago, LiQuiDBuD said:

Was supposed to get 3-5 overnight, woke up with 1" at best. What a royal bust for the overnight hours. Maybe it'll crank up as the day wears on.

Basically dry slot the whole time for the southern mtns 

13 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

I don’t know if I believe the HRRR at this point but good lord I’d love it.

Probably correct 

Major dry slot! Hopefully that upper low swings thru here and not north of us!

^ looks like a reasonable map!

10 minutes ago, landof2rivers said:

FLweather, where do you see the dry slot forming? 

My back yard!

Lol....apps runner on the euro! 

Euro is amped!

1 minute ago, Maggie Ace said:

Going to be hard not to get Winter Storm Watches hoisted this afternoon for the Mountains and the Foothills. The 12Z ECMWF certainly painted an interesting picture regarding potential totals.  My hunch is someone is looking at final totals early Saturday nearing a foot. Time will tell. 

Combined with the para gfs and the nam.

1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

We need snowcover for that 

Not in the mtns

19 minutes ago, jrips27 said:

Hey y’all! I’m pondering chasing this storm up in the southern mountains somewhere. Probably somewhere on the 64 corridor

Look at one of these -

cashiers- lake toxaway - brevard- Hendersonville 

Thought I would turn to the local experts. Any advice in places that usually do good in these type of set ups? 

Highlands to cashiers would be your best bet.  Easy to find a spot above 4000ft

4 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

No I am not, that is all public land up 276 from my side of the Parkway. I haven't seen anything in the models to indicate that moisture or temp will be an issue in Transylvania. Obviously being higher helps. My expectations are not on the totals the models are spitting out but I do fully expect accumulating snow as the signal on the models is too strong to expect otherwise. The 64 corridor from Highlands to Hendersonville has consistently been shown as a good spot for this storm.

How far are you from where 281 forks in little Canada?

4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

0z ICON looks solid for northern NC,  Southern VA 

That model jumps around more than a politician in an election year.

2 hours ago, oconeexman said:

Mack is in BFE now...Iowa I think. He is already sick of snow and cold...lol

Lol....what took him to Iowa of all places?

Nam closes off at hour 42, still open at 48 on 6z

Time to pull for the nam and rgem

Goes negative tilt at 84. Precip shield blossoming to the north and west. Extrapolated probably looks like the gfs

Where is frosty, cold rain, brick and mack? Do they still post?

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

And Covid numbers are skyrocketing here including my own family unfortunately 

Bryson city is like little Gatlinburg now. 

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Low pressure looks elongated but moving slowly and western NC gets hammered 

Might be the best euro run so far for the mtns 

2 hours ago, Phelps said:

Yeah where the heck did that come from?  A little frustrating as I was up there for 4 days to celebrate New Years and it never got below freezing.  Then as I'm packing up it starts to snow unexpectedly.  Certainly eyeing a quick return trip Thursday evening. 

Side note; I know many on this forum are well aware but man it was bustling up in the high country.  I think you had almost everything booked up with folks on vacation then on top of that a lot of day trippers had the mountains on their minds as they heard about the White Christmas.  The ski resort looked like chaos.  I'm happy for the  local businesses but also won't mind seeing things get back to "normal".  

Franklin/ bryson city have been packed since rentals could open back up in May. Everyone has and is fleeing the cities 

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

Can we just make it a paste bomb across the board... lol

If I could control the weather.  Unfortunately,  I can't 

7 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

Mmmm...not really..only for a few..dont believe any model that shows the high Smokies getting less snow than Macon and Clay County..That has NEVER happened that I am aware of

It's happened before.

The best dynamics and lift is in N GA, the southern mtns, and the far upstate of SC. At least per the 12z gfs.

12z gfs is a paste bomb!