franklin NCwx
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Posts posted by franklin NCwx
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It's disorganized until it gets to Virginia
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10 minutes ago, Local Yokel Wx said:
As with most events we talk a lot about populated areas (because its where we live) but who wants to throw down where you think the highest totals will be (factor in backend NW flow snow)?
I'm liking the southern end of the Great Balsams but also could see Mt LeConte push past everyone with their last minute light accumulations Sunday morning.
Highlands through Glenville up into little Canada around 281.
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14 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said:
They must be thinking of mixing issues down this way.
I don't see any mixing issues until the very end.
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4 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:
Wow...this winter sucks. Couldn't have even imagined being left out of a winter storm watch after the 06z runs yet here we are...
I wouldn't worry about it.
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Just now, wncsnow said:
GFS is more amped too but front end thump helps. We all know where this is going
Looked like a great run to me
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5 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:
Been thinking the same myself. Seems like an outlier, but I also know it's history with sniffing out warm noses and after that last bust in January it certainly shakes the confidence a bit.
But 850 Temps stay well below freezing for most of the event. You always see that erode quickly with a true warm nose
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2 minutes ago, Dunkman said:
Why do you say that? At least in central NC it’s pretty typical.
That's not how it works here in the southern mtns. When we have a warm nose it pokes it's head in from 850-750. 850 Temps are well below freezing and stay that way until the end. This is why we mostly always do rain or snow and very little freezing rain here. Speaking specifically for my area.
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5 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:
3km NAM came back in more aggressive with the warm nose than it did at 06z. Ton of QPF went to sleet that run. Again pretty high up there cause the 850s and 925s are well below freezing til bulk of the precip is basically gone.
That warm nose as modeled on the nam is hard to believe
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Fridays are remote days here in Macon county
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8 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said:
To bad it’s 36* because that would’ve been a heck of a snow shower.
Still mixing here but rain has mixed in now
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5 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said:
Just had a nice sleet shower move thru everything started to get white.
Pouring sleet and snow here
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3 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
850 and 925 are below freezing. Not sure if I buy that.
850's are well below freezing in the southern mtns and even nGA mtns. A warm nose would poke it's head at that level in this area.
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7 minutes ago, WxKnurd said:
I actually think it’s my pilot igniter assembly. I’ve purged per directions and can hear/smell gas while trying to light it and will occasionally get a spark but it’s not consistent in doing so. Just need to bite the bullet and have them come service them as it does give us back up heat if we lose power or the heat pump stops working like the other week (dang fuse I didn’t even know existed on the handler unit popped).
If you have an air compressor try blowing the logs and ignitor off really good.
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Probably just under an inch of blowing powder.
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Got a light dusting this morning
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53 minutes ago, Met1985 said:
How did you manage this go round?
Rained a little this morning. We didn't get any snow or rain yesterday
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We do better with a more westerly flow than nw
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Just got back from Disney! Warm and sunny there, 40s and rain here
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1 hour ago, BullCityWx said:
If you draw a line from New Bern straight back to the tennessee line in Macon County within about 30 miles N or S of that line, thats the focus of this run. Almost a true M&M storm.
Dropping some macon county love! Of course I'll be in Florida next week
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2 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:
Very early in winter? Winter is halfway over. Met winter is what counts. In NC, winter for all intents and purposes ends March 1 except for very anomalous events.
Lol...winter just started
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3 minutes ago, calculus1 said:
We can add Brad Panovich's Twitter feed to the whining thread. He's whining about why people are picking on him and how they don't listen.
Lol....
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Gfs actually phases this upcoming storm but surface reflection looks weak. Definitely something that can beef up as we get closer.
2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread
in Southeastern States
Posted
I still think a 2-4 3-6 type deal is in the cards for the mtns