HighStakes

I'm sure someone mentioned it but come Tuesday morning there will be mass elimination from the snowfall contest.

If the right bands set up absolutely! 15:1 is actually likely assuming we're not sitting under light returns getting pine needles.

Justin and Tony used to have a weekly 1 hour weather talk show on WCBM in the early 2000's. Justin was at WBAL for several years before going to WMAR.

Interesting! I know they used to use the RPM a lot years ago but like you said they also show the Euro. I don't watch nearly as much as I used to but I feel like Tom T has definitely gotten more conservative in recent years. He's been at WBAL 35 years which is remarkable and he's a solid met. He never struck me as a my way only guy. By taking that stance he's hurting his own product by not accepting input especially from someone like Ava who's made her own mark a good meteorologist.

I happened to have WBAL on the other day for the first time in a while and I noticed they were using the Graf model as there futurecast radar.

Lol. Both and Toto!

This appeared on my FB feed for the first time ever out of nowhere.

Sounds good to me! I agree when it comes to ratios up here. Even in more marginal events we tend to get 10:1/12:1. A lot of times we do even better than 15:1 as long as were not getting pine needles lol. If we get into good banding we can do 20:1. I would love to see the back end trend a bit better. We could really go to town on ratios with that. I think this will be a fun event. So far this year just feels different from the past several. Most of the sub forum should be satisfied when it's all said and done.

Reasonable. 4 is my bar. Hoping of course for 6 plus. Anything less than 4 will be disappointing considering how much time we have vested in this event.

I think I'll ride the Euro for this one.

Can't say enough how great it is have legit cold settle in 48 hours before knowing every flake counts.

Several inches on top of whatever falls on Monday would be tremendous especially after years of futility we've endured. It's always great to be tracking the next event before the first one is done. There probably is a limit on how big this one can get but who cares. Looks like another cold storm too. We need to capitalize on this pattern.

It was a decent month and I think 1 storm was a low end warning level but we completely got shut out on the 1st storm with a sharp cut off.

Exactly! They all freak out when they're not in the bullseye every run of every model.

Maybe he means for the entire month? As far as 1/3/22 I never got a flurry. I think Reisterstown got around 2.

The driest and furthest south models still give you 4 inches. That's not a bad place to be in.

Steady snow. No problem sticking on cold surfaces. 33.

For the northern crew, going off the Euro only, things don't look as bad as some might portray. Surface temps are in the low 20's throughout but more importantly 850's are -8. Pretty reasonable to expect 15-18 to 1 ratios. As long as expectations are reasonable we're still very much in the game for 4-6 with the very strong possibility this nudges further north. If we get .3-.4 liquid were good to go. Accumulated snow still gets well into PA even on the south/dry runs. The upside is much better than the downside with this event in my opinion. Plus something like GFS is showing isn't completely out of the question.

Flurries/light snow.

Quite possibly.

Can't wait for the Watch to be issued. Early Saturday a.m.?

Outstanding!

Nice start to our wintry pattern! Just 33 here with flurries.

Impressive cold following the storm all next week.

He already referenced it once!