HighStakes

It was Plow'n on his way to meet Stormtracker for a beer.

We got unlucky the week after the storm on the 19th of January. That entire week we had plenty cold and not one threat materialized. First one was on Tuesday/Wednesday and that failed. Then there was a chance on Friday that never got going and finally the following Monday chance that failed. Had we just had one more moderate event that week and cashed in this week with at least a moderate event this would have been a very solid winter. Not to be!

Didn't a famous poster once say he was "bitter and angry"? Well it appears we have all achieved that staus.

Wow!

How can you say that when I'm eating my desert!

We've endured a great deal of Heartbreak as winter enthusiasts living in the Mid-Atlantic. Hard to believe I had just turned 16 in January 1989. I can rember that bust so vividly as well. Were definitely getting old lol. The late 80's and early 90's were brutal. I lived a mile north of Beltway exit 20 which is roughly 3 miles north of where @nw baltimore wx currently lives. It a was a relative good spot for snow for the immediate metro area.

My top 5 busts in no particular order except for 3/2001 which will always take top billing. I'm not including Boxing Day one because it was clear well in advance it was a fail. 3/2001 2/1989 12/30/2000 Early February 1985. Forecast was for rain changing to snow and 6-10 inches. It did changeover briefly ending up with an inch. There was also a moderate bust in January 1985 also. Superbowl Sunday 1986. Heavy rain was supposed to change to heavy snow. Changeover was brief only leaving putrid coating. Honorable mention: 3/91 Early January 1988 3/1989 1/1984 1/1985

Who knows what some of these people on here are thinking. Lol. Probably was some guy from the Tidewater.

A few days ago someone mentioned February 1989 analog showing up. We were under a Winter Storm Warning for 6-10 and never sniffed a flake. I think Eastern shore got crushed. Maybe Norfolk too.

Regardless of final outcome this has been a top 3 worst storm tracking experiences.

Just had a serious gusto 5 minutes ago.

I think I would feel better if the NAM had the jackpot in Scranton. Lol.

I would agree. Maybe 36 hours to see significant change.

Just went back and looked. EURO has it snowing lightly here early Thursday morning with -16 at 850. That's insane. This is a serious cold airmass. All we need is .3-.4 qpf. and it's a great little storm.

Seems like the logical approach. Still 72 hours. So much can change in the last 48 hours as we've often been victim of.

Both EURO and GFS seem to have a stronger cold push on Tuesday ahead of the storm. Only low 20's for highs here. A couple days ago it was upper 20's. Wednesday morning has high single digits and the barely hits 20 for a high with barely any precip. It looks like cold is overwhelming the system.

We've already lost several good posters in the last few years. I guess they felt like they were run off.

I have closer to 4 as a memory. Check your records lol. Pretty sure Westminster got 6. That's how close the good snow was. As late as that morning we weren't sure we would see anything.

This whole has thing has really deterioted fast. Being that we're heading into the stretch run of the season and we have an anomalous cold airmass to work with makes it sting more. 4-6 inches of cold powder sounds really good. I'm all in til the end and we're still 72 hours out.

Not looking great but always hopeful.

Lol. The 20 minutes of Euphoria a good model run provides before the next model crushes our dreams.

So much time invested with little reward.

That was the worst one for me. Had to call out of work that Monday for being so depressed and angered.

This one will be a tough pill to swallow if it doesn't come back. Nothing really look promising on the horizon. 6 inches sounds real good right now. These fantasies chasing 18 inch plus storms get exhausting. There's a reason why they rarely occur yet we try to convince ourselves we live where there suppose to frequently occur. I keep thinking back to right before winter when someone maybe PSU posted that snowfall history in this type of la Nina and there was a massive hole right over our part of the Mid-Atlantic. With that being said still plenty time for a reversal to some extent.

I agree. I don't think this ever had 20 inches plus like a few runs but I think an outcome like today's 12z EURO is plausible. Definitely a little baffled since like you said this isn't a suppressive look.