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Solak

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Everything posted by Solak

  1. LOL - this is the first time we've ever lost the satellite signal on DirecTV for snow. all 1.5" +/- of it!!! The dish was replaced 2 years ago. Must be designed differently.
  2. Just a fine misty snow here in Clayton now. Picked up about an inch so far. What's falling now is melting on the slushy road with little to no accumulation.
  3. Already sticking on elevated surfaces after just 25 minutes.
  4. Temp has dropped from 45 at noon to currently 37. All rain right now after a little sleet when the precip started.
  5. Rain and sleet in Clayton, 2 miles from JoCo airport. 43/32
  6. Starting the day off at 41/41. It appears that the current precip shield is well ahead of what the 06z GfS depicts.
  7. Is there any chance of the famous 'deformation band' setting up, or is that kind of setup not in play with this system? Only asking since it is often mentioned with our coastal snow events.
  8. Well, I guess someone had to be first... Breaking News: Cumberland County Schools to release students 2 hours early Thursday, start classes 2 hours late Friday #wral
  9. What amounts are they talking about? Higher than what?
  10. This is fantastic news!!!
  11. 0.19" overnight. Front has gone through. A damp and misty 52 out there.
  12. WRAL Weather 9 mins · JUST IN: We updated the snow potential a bit. We have an area of 2-3" possiblel totals including parts of the triangle.
  13. RAH Afternoon AFD With the cold front well to the south of the NC/SC border Thursday, central NC will remain under the influence of cold high pressure ridging southward into the region advecting cold air in from the north. This front is expected to remain south of the area as a coastal low develops off the SC coast Thursday aft/eve in response to an upper level shortwave. The proximity of this low to the NC coast and how much/far moisture extends to the NW will be the determining factor for how much snow will fall and accumulate. The wetter NAM/GFS solutions may be a bit too aggressive with the precipitation extending into central NC, while the much drier ECMWF solution may be more reasonable. Precipitation should start as rain, moving into the south during the aft/eve, which will help cool temperatures to the wetbulb values in the 30-32 degree range by Thursday night. There will likely be a period of rain mixed with snow, with little accumulation expected during that time. The best chance for snow accumulation will be if and where there is a transition to all snow. Regardless, there will likely be a "sweet spot" across eastern NC where snow could accumulate to more than an inch or two and a very tight gradient of snow amounts across the area. Given the uncertainty, will keep expected snowfall accumulations below warning criteria at this time, though still have about 1-2 inches in the Coastal Plain. Highs on Thursday will top out in the 40s, quickly lowering into the low 30s as rainfall occurs.
  14. Greg Fishel - keeping it real. I do not believe this upcoming late week weather event is going to be your meteorological messiah. Might we see a few flakes? Yes, but every time I venture outside you've got that so what's the big deal???
  15. RAH - Sunday afternoon update. By Thursday morning, we'll see moist WSW flow aloft beginning to overrun the cold low level airmass advecting into NC, thus many of the models have been suggesting some light precip developing to our SW and skirting at least our southern and southeast zones during the daytime and evening Thursday. It's worth noting that the operational ECWMF has been shifting the precip shield further and further south with recent runs (given its further southward progression of the aforementioned cold front). That said, if the GFS and Canadian verify, which suggest that precip will fall farther north than what the ECMWF shows, forecast soundings from these models suggest an opportunity for some wet snowflakes to mix in with the otherwise light rain over the south and southeast portions of our CWA. Clearly there is a great deal of uncertainty with this part of the forecast, so the best advice now is to stay tuned to future forecasts for updates, but right now we are not forecasting anything that would lead to substantial weather impacts for central NC later this week.
  16. Where did THIS come from? (I know it's not mid-long range, but it's not an observation yet, either ) Tonight A chance of flurries between 11pm and 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 27. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
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