Solak

Already sticking on elevated surfaces after just 25 minutes.

Finally changing over.

Temp has dropped from 45 at noon to currently 37. All rain right now after a little sleet when the precip started.

Rain and sleet in Clayton, 2 miles from JoCo airport. 43/32

Starting the day off at 41/41. It appears that the current precip shield is well ahead of what the 06z GfS depicts.

Now showing 60's and 3/4" rain

This is fantastic news!!!

Greg Fishel - keeping it real. I do not believe this upcoming late week weather event is going to be your meteorological messiah. Might we see a few flakes? Yes, but every time I venture outside you've got that so what's the big deal???

RAH - Sunday afternoon update. By Thursday morning, we'll see moist WSW flow aloft beginning to overrun the cold low level airmass advecting into NC, thus many of the models have been suggesting some light precip developing to our SW and skirting at least our southern and southeast zones during the daytime and evening Thursday. It's worth noting that the operational ECWMF has been shifting the precip shield further and further south with recent runs (given its further southward progression of the aforementioned cold front). That said, if the GFS and Canadian verify, which suggest that precip will fall farther north than what the ECMWF shows, forecast soundings from these models suggest an opportunity for some wet snowflakes to mix in with the otherwise light rain over the south and southeast portions of our CWA. Clearly there is a great deal of uncertainty with this part of the forecast, so the best advice now is to stay tuned to future forecasts for updates, but right now we are not forecasting anything that would lead to substantial weather impacts for central NC later this week.

Where did THIS come from? (I know it's not mid-long range, but it's not an observation yet, either ) Tonight A chance of flurries between 11pm and 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 27. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Allan Huffman @RaleighWx · 51s The 12z ECMWF continues support a wintry weather threat late next week. Overrunning wintry precip in Southeast Thursday, coastal low by Saturday with wintry weather eastern Carolinas/SE Va. 12z GFS/Canadian had no overrunning and coastal too far offshore. 12z EC keeps hope alive.

Chasing D10 storms = doing the same thing over and over, expecting a different result.

@NWSReno Kirkwood now gusting 209 MPH! This could potentially be a new California state record wind speed if verified!

James Spann 14 mins · NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) continues to support the idea of a concentrated area of heavy rain this week over North Alabama. There will be a sharp cut-off on the southern periphery, most likely somewhere around I-20. Rain amounts of 4-6 inches are possible somewhere in that 60-100 mile wide strip, and flooding issues (both flash flooding and river flooding) are likely. 69

Brad Panovich Meteorologist · We have been upgraded to a high risk for Flash flooding for Thursday. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx 165

Yeah, it's looking like it'll be quite an event. Soggy ground and any severe wind events won't be a good mix, either.

And just like a snow map, the 12z GFS has cut the rain totals by two thirds (at least for the RAH area). 3.5" is now 1.25"

Geez--- the 12z GFS is pushing out over 4.5" rain on Thursday!!!

RAH early thoughts for next weekend. It's worth noting that GFS forecast soundings show plenty of low level cooling Saturday night into early Sunday, so we may have to consider p-type issues during that time if there's any adequate QPF assoc with the upper low passage. The ECMWF on the other hand shows the northern stream portion of the system dominating and remaining much more progressive, thus it keeps the moisture and sfc low well to our south, and in fact, keeps our area dry this weekend! The Canadian looks more like the GFS, and the GEFS supports the operational GFS to some extent. For now, won't make too many changes and continue to carry chance PoPs until future runs come into better agreement.

141 years ago, the weather was still the same!

8 NE Garland [Sampson Co, NC] 911 CALL CENTER reports TSTM WND DMG at 1:38 PM EST -- *** 3 INJ *** A WATER LOADED MICROBURST OCCURRED OVER UNION INTERMEDIATE SCHOOL, CAUSING A PARTIAL ROOF COLLAPSE. THREE STUDENTS WERE TREATED FOR MINOR INJURIES AND TRANSPORTED TO THE HOSPITAL.

Yeah - kinda crazy to be even posting 384hr maps from the Sears Wish Book.