Solak

3 E Fuquay-Varina [Wake Co, NC] NWS STORM SURVEY reports TORNADO at 23 Jul, 2:34 PM EDT -- A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN OCCURRED IN THE COMMUNITY OF WILLOW SPRINGS, NC ON JULY 23, 2019. THE DAMAGE CONSISTED OF A COMBINATION OF SNAPPED AND UPROOTED TREES, MINOR SIDING DAMAGE TO ONE HOME, AND NUMEROUS FENCES BLOWN DOWN. THE TYPES AND DIAMETERS OF THE AFFECTED TREES ALONG WITH THE DEGREE OF DAMAGE SUGGEST WIND SPEEDS OF 75 TO 85 MPH.

NWS Raleigh‏Verified account @NWSRaleigh 8s8 seconds ago The latest @NWSSPC outlook has upgraded areas along and east of US-1 to a "Marginal Risk" (1 of 5) for severe weather this afternoon and evening. Isolated damaging wind gusts from downbursts are possible from the strongest cells. Flash flooding is also a concern. #NCwx

NWS SPC‏Verified account @NWSSPC 7m7 minutes ago 7:44am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Slight Risk: across montana/western north dakota http://go.usa.gov/YWq5 ...Carolinas/southern Virginia... A moist summertime air mass will remain across the region with ample insolation coincident with relatively cloud-free skies early in the day. As the air mass quickly destabilizes and becomes moderately unstable, scattered thunderstorms will develop/increase through the afternoon initially near the mountains/Blue Ridge and near a weak surface trough across the region. While tropospheric winds will remain weak and mid-level lapse rates are poor, diurnally steepening low-level lapse and ample Precipitable Water could yield at least a few instances of wet microbursts and locally damaging winds.

Weather Wes Hohenstein 47 mins · Sunday's small thunderstorm that moved through Wake County was very powerful & sure did cause a lot of problems. Proof that we need to take all storms serious & that size doesn't matter! Was probably a micorburst that produced winds over 60-70 mph! #ncwx 21

We were put in a marginal risk earlier today. Wow, though - that's quite a report you have in the observation thread!

NWS GSP‏Verified account @NWSGSP 14m14 minutes ago Latest update from @NWSSPC shows a significant increase in severe t-storm risk this afternoon. An Enhanced Risk means numerous storms producing winds in excess of 60mph are now possible across all of Upstate SC, northeast GA, and parts of NC. Please stay aware! #GAwx #NCwx #SCwx

That first MCS really had wheels! Kansas City to Charleston and Savannah in less than 24 hours.

< Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 1186 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0902 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019 Areas affected...eastern TN into western NC...SC...northern GA...central AL and northeast MS Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 220202Z - 220400Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential will likely persist into the overnight hours and a downstream severe thunderstorm watch is likely to the south/southeast of WW 419. DISCUSSION...A bow echo continues to shift east/southeast across KY/TN this evening. Western portions of this line continue to weaken as outflow surges southward ahead of the line into northern MS. It remains unclear how far south and east the bow echo will continue, however, a strong cold pool remains in the wake of the line and ample MLCAPE remains southeast of the line from middle/eastern TN into AL/GA before decreasing toward the western Carolinas. The latest VWP from OHX does indicate some weakening of the rear-inflow jet compared to 1-2 hours ago, but still showing 50-60 kt between 1-3 km ARL. The most recent measured gusts have generally been between 40-50 kt with many reports of trees down and other damage. Given a favorable downstream environment where strong instability and a very moist boundary layer persists beneath steep midlevel lapse rates and modestly increasing deep layer shear overnight, some threat for damaging wind is expected to extend into parts of northern/central AL into northern GA and perhaps the western Carolinas and a watch likely will be needed for at least some portions of the MCD area in the next 1-2 hours.

That's quite a gust!!! ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR THE NASH COUNTY THUNDERSTORM WIND EVENT... .An NWS survey team has determined that straight-line winds were the primary cause of extensive tree and minor structural damage to the North Carolina Wesleyan College Sports complex on April 20th... Location...2 SSW Battleboro in Nash County, North Carolina Date...June 20th, 2019 Estimated Time...4:20 PM EDT Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...85-95 mph Maximum Path Width...650 yards Path Length...0.4 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...36.01/-77.78 Ending Lat/Lon...36.01/-77.78 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...0 ...Summary... Strong, straight-line thunderstorm winds from a microburst impacted areas near the intersection of Thomas A Betts Parkway and Bishop Road. Upon impact, 85 to 95 mph winds quickly spread in a fan-like pattern primarily northeast of the original impact point. Damage from the wind gusts ranged from nearly 100 uprooted and snapped pine trees and minor structural damage to the sport complex outbuildings. This includes the total loss of an anchored steel score board, significant damage to a cinder block dugout which included a primary wall collapse, and the uplift, transport, and destruction of a viewing tower near the Football complex. Minor damage to fencing and other temporary structures was also common place, with little to no damage present to nearby sturdy buildings.

Nice grab, eyewall!

60K+ w/o power now. (SC/NC - Duke Power)

32K and climbing without power (Duke Power) in NC/SC

2 NNE Durham [Durham Co, NC] EMERGENCY MNGR reports TSTM WND DMG at 3:28 PM EDT -- REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN DOWNTOWN DURHAM.

And a few more of these... Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Caswell County in north central North Carolina... South central Pittsylvania County in south central Virginia... Southwestern Halifax County in south central Virginia... * Until 300 PM EDT

Got a feeling there will be a lot of reports like this throughout the rest of the day/night. 1 SSE Belews Creek [Forsyth Co, NC] FIRE DEPT/RESCUE reports TSTM WND DMG at 2:04 PM EDT -- SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN AND IN ROADWAYS ACROSS THE WINSTON- SALEM AREA.

Further South, too

Also until 10:00PM

Enhanced area has expanded. NWS SPC‏Verified account @NWSSPC 3m3 minutes ago 7:51am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Enhanced Risk: southern va to eastern ga http://go.usa.gov/YWq5

As of 500 AM Thursday... A severe weather event is expected to unfold across the Carolinas this afternoon, with at least a couple of significant wind (65 kts or greater) and hail (2" or greater) reports possible. ------------------------------------------- 645 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Thunderstorms are expected to intensify over the western Carolinas through midday. These storms will subsequently spread generally east northeastward across central NC this afternoon and evening, with some merging into fast-moving clusters with corridors of damaging wind gusts, and others remaining discrete with large hail. Isolated wind gusts in excess of 70 mph, and instances of hail larger than two inches in diameter, will be possible. Additionally, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The timing for severe weather appears greatest across the Piedmont between 2 PM and 7 PM, and across the Coastal Plain and Sandhills between 4 PM and 9 PM.

It's GFS-FV3 showtime. National Weather Service‏Verified account @NWS 3h3 hours ago .@NOAA’s flagship weather model is undergoing a significant upgrade today to improve future forecasts of severe weather, winter storms, and tropical cyclones. Read more at https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-upgrades-us-global-weather-forecast-model … #GFS

Brad Panovich‏Verified account @wxbrad 9m9 minutes ago We had a possible tornado touchdown near Ellenboro at 5:10 pm. I have some confirmed damage reports and a very short lived couplet on radar. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx

Lost power for almost 2 hours. 2 rounds of storms, 1.60" =/-, and the rainy stuff is still a few days away! We're gonna be

Mesoscale Discussion 984 < Previous MD Next MD > Mesoscale Discussion 0984 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2019 Areas affected...South and North Carolina through southern and central Virginia...Maryland and Delaware Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 051652Z - 051845Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent