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Solak

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Everything posted by Solak

  1. RAH early thoughts for next weekend. It's worth noting that GFS forecast soundings show plenty of low level cooling Saturday night into early Sunday, so we may have to consider p-type issues during that time if there's any adequate QPF assoc with the upper low passage. The ECMWF on the other hand shows the northern stream portion of the system dominating and remaining much more progressive, thus it keeps the moisture and sfc low well to our south, and in fact, keeps our area dry this weekend! The Canadian looks more like the GFS, and the GEFS supports the operational GFS to some extent. For now, won't make too many changes and continue to carry chance PoPs until future runs come into better agreement.
  2. 141 years ago, the weather was still the same!
  3. Topped out at 37 today. Coldest high temp in quite a while.
  4. Just saw reports of flurries in Va. Beach and Nags Head!
  5. Everyone's all upset about all these 10 & 15 day storms vanishing, and we can't even get a one day forecast right. Right now, we're 3 degrees warmer than the forecast called for.
  6. Same here. DP was 63 this morning, down to 30 now. The 66 outside feels a lot cooler than it is.
  7. 100% blue skies on this "mostly cloudy" afternoon. Forecasted 65, currently 68.
  8. Surprisingly dry here today given the initial forecasts. Just 0.01" in the bucket since sunrise. Made it up to 72 today. Gonna be a shock to the system when next week gets here!!
  9. 8 NE Garland [Sampson Co, NC] 911 CALL CENTER reports TSTM WND DMG at 1:38 PM EST -- *** 3 INJ *** A WATER LOADED MICROBURST OCCURRED OVER UNION INTERMEDIATE SCHOOL, CAUSING A PARTIAL ROOF COLLAPSE. THREE STUDENTS WERE TREATED FOR MINOR INJURIES AND TRANSPORTED TO THE HOSPITAL.
  10. Yeah - kinda crazy to be even posting 384hr maps from the Sears Wish Book.
  11. I'll never figure out point forecasts. Moderate rain, thunder, Special Weather Statement, Mesoscale Discussion, and it lowered our chances of rain from 90% to 60%. And, we've already had more than the "Less than a tenth of an inch expected."
  12. 0.37" overnight with a few flashes of lightning.
  13. Not totally unheard of. All of central NC and a good portion of SC had one on this date in 2014.
  14. Pretty big expansion up in to NC
  15. We (KJNX) went from 52 at 2:35 AM to 61 at 3:15 AM this morning.
  16. KJNX says "Thunderstorm in vicinity." Radar says "closest precip is near Greenville, NC". Hmmmmmm 0.05" earlier today.
  17. GFS has been all over the place with precip amounts for this coming weekend. RDU has gone from 4.52" on yesterday's 06z to 0.24" this morning for the same time period.
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