Solak

Yeah, the models have been showing a cutoff low on the heels of the 'tropical' system next week.

Seeing some pink and blue returns from the south central mtns. Any ground truth?

Wasn't expecting this this evening... 806 PM EDT Mon May 4 2020 The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southern Spartanburg County in Upstate South Carolina... * Until 830 PM EDT. * At 805 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 11 miles southwest of Spartanburg, or near Moore, moving southeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and tennis ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Woodruff and Moore around 810 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this dangerous thunderstorm include Enoree and Pauline.

NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center 15 mins · Today we announce the retirement of senior hurricane specialist Dr. Lixion Avila. "Lix" issued countless forecasts for hurricanes that included names like Gilbert, Andrew, Katrina, Wilma, Michael and Dorian. Now after 33 years of federal service, all of it at the National Hurricane Center, he's ready to enjoy the next chapter in his life. We will miss our friend and colleague, and wish him well! In this interview, he reflects on his career at NHC: https://www.weather.gov/careers/meteorology-avila-lixion

From RAH: Models continue to suggest a quick hitting round of convection capable of producing heavy rain and possibly strong to severe thunderstorms moving into central NC from the west Wednesday evening, through the area Wednesday night/early Thursday and offshore by Thursday evening.

Any snow/sleet/graupel in the southern mtns along the TN border? Seeing some 'pink' returns on radar.

And another... 750 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2020 The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Rabun County in northeastern Georgia... Southeastern Macon County in western North Carolina... Northwestern Oconee County in Upstate South Carolina... * Until 815 PM EDT. * At 749 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Clayton, moving east at 40 mph.

Tornado Warning National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 740 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2020 The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Greenville County in Upstate South Carolina... Northwestern Spartanburg County in Upstate South Carolina... * Until 815 PM EDT. * At 740 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles north of Greenville Downtown, or near Paris Mountain State Park, moving east at 40 mph.

Also on the bright side, it also tempers the chance of severe weather, at least for 'our' area.

Boy, the GFS has really cut back on precipitation amounts for the next 2 systems. (RDU area). Now just showing 0.20 for Thursday, and 0.12 for the weekend event. Meanwhile, NWS is still calling for over an inch for tomorrow/tomorrow night. NAM 12z drops 2.38" tomorrow. So, I'm going to go out on a limb and say we'll probably get some rain, and it could be a little, or could be a lot.

I guess if the storms won't come to them, they flock to the storms. 4/12 was the same way. Lots of new 'faces' in the forum.

GFS has really pulled back on precip amounts for this next event. Gone from over 3.5" to now (12z Friday) just 0.67" (RDU area)

GFS 12z for 4/15

Caught a little blurb on the local weather at noontime. Less air traffic is leading to less data for model input, which in turn is leading to less accurate long range model output. . On another note, I'm curious what, if any impact (short or long range), will drastically lower vehicle traffic, closed factories, emissions, etc. have on the weather?

Turned ours on to move the air around. Too much pine pollen out there to open the windows.

I was an EMT in Kill Devil Hills at the time. Half of our staff had gone to see the circus at Scope, and were snowed in up there for 2 days, and couldn't get back to the OBX for another day. Our skeleton crew (5 of us) had to pull an 96 hour shift, sleeping on the clinic beds/examining tables at Outer Banks Medical Center. We got hit pretty good with the snow as well... 10-12" with incredible drifts. There was a period there in the late 70s and early 80s when there was a coastal snowstorm every single time Barnum & Bailey's was in town up in Norfolk.

Sunday 06z GFS is now showing 0.12" rain for this week's super-saturation event at RDU!

RAH this afternoon ~ 2/24 pair of strong shortwaves rotating through the base of the long wave trough; one Friday, followed by a stronger, secondary wave on Saturday, will need to be monitored for the potential for some very light precip amounts across the area. Given the modified cP airmass that will be in place, favorable nocturnal timing could allow for some very light/trace amounts of frozen precip.

2.7" snow, 0.47 rain and snow melted

Missed it by about 6" here.

LOL - this is the first time we've ever lost the satellite signal on DirecTV for snow. all 1.5" +/- of it!!! The dish was replaced 2 years ago. Must be designed differently.

Just a fine misty snow here in Clayton now. Picked up about an inch so far. What's falling now is melting on the slushy road with little to no accumulation.