forkyfork
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Everything posted by forkyfork
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December 22nd - 23rd Cutter Discussion and Observations
forkyfork replied to NJwx85's topic in New York City Metro
the warmer than normal ssts probably helped winds mix down at the coast -
not saying ku, just the potential for a few inches if it keeps trending
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we have seen so many hits at day 5 turn into cutters. we want something way offshore at this time range these days
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we got white rain and inland got some accumulations
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8 year olds pushing the car
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i'm not convinced the post christmas wave is dead yet
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the meso models show a line of convection with heavy rain along the front. that is the worst possible scenario for flash freezing
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i think the se wind threat ahead of the front is overblown. soundings show an inversion
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and i'm not answering them
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this isn't a debate. enjoy being wrong <3
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it's warmer because of carbon dioxide emissions
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smaller hemispheric cold pool = less of a PV to get trapped under blocking
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the overall polar vortex and n hem. cold pool is shrinking. that's probably playing a role too
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i wonder if the overall smaller polar vortex and hemispheric cold pool is playing a role
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shit happens. what's really shocking to me is that the coast can't even get a moderate event with the ao this negative
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let's not tempt ourselves with ideal scenarios just yet
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it's a capture scenario and the euro has a bias of being too phased with those
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called it
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i like elite storms. the pattern coming up has a greater chance of producing one than most others
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bump
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i want the gfs to show a low over the azores
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i'm so impressed by this trend. even the 23rd might work out
