Radtechwxman
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Everything posted by Radtechwxman
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Unfortunately probably. But I can dream right?
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Lock in 21z rap and 18z hrrr. Ha. If only. Fantasy land for them. Wishcasting 101
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Obviously long range HRRR not reliable but find it interesting it has the sfc low and snow shield significantly farther east than global models. Definitely something to keep an eye on.
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Yeah you're sitting pretty for this. Me not so much. Lol
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12z euro says no snow for you IL
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Wagons west. Well that was short lived excitement. Hoping maybe it can trend back east but not counting on it
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Lol 0z gfs just hits a wall in along the MS River. It's like done in IL. Still many days out and not getting caught up in run to run solutions. Hopefully this one won't trend to crap like our last system did. Clippers or in this case a hybrid clipper tend to perform better around here. Track can be extra finicky with clippers this far out. I expect to see plenty of shifts all week. Energy for this storm way out by Hawaii.
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I feel your pain. Wasn't expecting so much drying from the south. Figured that would be from the north with arctic air mass bleeding se. You have a nice weenie band heading your way now though. Looks like you could easily could another inch out of it. Heavy returns on DVN radar. Ratios should be great now with your temps
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Yea I thought we would see some nice dry fluffy stuff tonight as the system pulled away but that ended up way north. Feel sorry for you guys down south. Been a snow less winter for you so far.
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Big plot twist. Dry air was overmodeled on north side but undermodeled on south side. No models really showed snow ending here till after 06z. Had few periods this afternoon of drying but filled back in but now seems last band is pulling out.
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You always seem to luck out no matter what. Lol. Funny earlier barely had returns over me and it was snowing good and now have a nice band over me and barely anything. Weird system. Ha
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Looking like between 3-4in of snow here right now. Definitely a drier snow now. Flake size improved somewhat. Radar not looking promising though as best banding is moving out. Hoping we see some fill in later like HRRR suggests.
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Snowing at a good clip in Peoria but flake size not great. Might limit accumulation potential. Snow overall drier than I expected though. Blowing around. Anyone noticing that massive dry slot developing in MO on radar? Lol. Models don't seem to be grasping that well.
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Noticing some drying trends on the radar in northern MO. Hoping that will fill back in.
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New euro definitely came in underwhelming. Happy 2022. Lol
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Remember when we were like this can only get better as it approaches? 2022 was like hold my beer. Happy new year! Lol
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Well might be getting ice storm part 2 instead of a snowstorm if nam is correct. Better than cold rain. Curious if the waa will win out against the dense arctic air mass pressing se on Sat. Eventually the cold air will win out but how quick is the million dollar question
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AccuWeather or as I call them Inaccuweather is an embarrassment to the meteorology community
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Wouldn't trust any output from rap or hrrr at this range
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Idk what day it is anymore. Ha. Long hours at the hospital get you delirious. Yes 2 days. I feel like nam is an easy toss 99.9% of the time. I agree with Ricky, retire nam.
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Well either nam is onto something or smoking something. We shall see soon. Nam solution could verify if a more phased system came to fruition. 12km is a cold rain here and 3km nam is ice storm part 2. This is going to be a long 3 days. But still not going to trust nam 3 days out.
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Always find it amusing how stubborn models can be in their own solutions and not wanting to converge. Feel like overall most models have seemed closer to GFS with 0z nam being first run of nam with noticeable bump south. Euro being quite stubborn and really wanting to keep much higher totals quite nw of here likely because of stronger warm nose. Definitely not getting excited yet because any bump north on models and it will be a rainer or mix central here.
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Valid point. Still it's long range. Nice to see a spread the wealth system for many of us. Just hoping not to be on the edge for a change. Plus would be awesome to have back to back NYD storms. Had big ice storm last year and would be awesome to follow it with big snowstorm. Here's to hoping.
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Well not digging the 18z nam at all. Hello cold rain. Yay. Not. Just need that sfc low to nudge a bit more se and I can cash in. Forever riding the rain/snow line here. Hoping goofus can be right but not getting my hopes up.
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Honestly thought that run was going to have higher accumulations a bit further south because sfc low seemed a little more south and maybe slightly less amped. But still buried Iowa. Euro not wanting to budge. Curious to see which model caves first. GFS or Euro.
