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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. Radar filling in very nicely in MD and central PA. This thing is about to get wild in 3-4 hours!
  2. Hi-res RGEM went crazy for the LV and Poconos!
  3. I just worry we get dryslotted while the Poconos and Philly burbs both get crushed. It’s happened before and it’s a concern for me with every storm like this. You never know where the banding will set up until it actually does.
  4. And the latest RAP brings the heavy bands back into the LV. At this point it’s basically just entertainment looking at these unless there’s some crazy last minute trend.
  5. This. This is the model I choose to believe.
  6. Snow reports in Collegeville and KOP on mPING. Those have to be bogus, right?
  7. 0z runs so far are not good for the Philly burbs. 3-6” now compared to the 6-12” solutions from earlier today.
  8. Here’s the HRRR. The RAP is similar.
  9. Latest RAP and HRRR back off quite a bit. I’m getting tired…
  10. For SE PA, yes, but the precip cutoff is well north. State College, Williamsport, and Scranton are close to heavy snow again. Not that it matters for this subforum but it’s a clear sign that the south trend has stopped for good.
  11. HRRR starting to come back north a little. Current radar supports that.
  12. Here’s the complete run. Still snowing everywhere but the Lehigh Valley at this hour.
  13. RAP continues to bullseye this entire subforum.
  14. 100% agree. Short-range meso models have been steady in their past few runs. And current radar matches up with the models’ sim radar pretty well.
  15. The HRRR has held steady in its past few runs instead of continuing to trend south. Latest run has 6-9” for most of us with snow still falling everywhere.
  16. I can’t even imagine how the forecasters in Scranton/Wilkes-Barre down to the northern Poconos are feeling right now. This was all but a lock for a major snowstorm for them. And it all fell apart just like that. Fortunately it doesn’t look like there’s enough time for this to bust badly in the Lehigh Valley. Worst case, we get like 4” of moderate snow overnight.
  17. Meanwhile the 3km becomes good friends with the UKMET.
  18. 18z NAM continues the south trend and it is a total crush job. Looks like the HRRR.
  19. Was March 7-8 the storm that knocked out power to much of eastern PA? I remember that clearly, I was in the Poconos for it and the forecast was 1-3”, instead we got over 6” with blizzard conditions at times.
  20. Be thankful if this keeps going south. If I get shafted it means you get hammered!
  21. If the NAM comes as far south as the RAP then it’s time to start worrying a little. This thing isn’t gonna miss us like it might in Scranton, but another sizable shift south leaves us with 2-4” or 3-6” instead of 6-10”+.
  22. Zoomed in HRRR. I think the entire subforum would be happy with this!
  23. HRRR still wallops the LV/Poconos early tomorrow morning. It has 3” of snow at ABE by the time the Euro just begins to change over to snow.
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