USCAPEWEATHERAF

I mean, obviously we need a strong arctic high in place over Maine or Quebec to keep the cold arctic air mass in place, locked in and thrown towards the coast!

Oh I do too, but then the caveat is, that if the warm oceans allow for a change to rain, they also allow for higher moisture content and release over the region. A higher moisture source if the air mass is arctic and deep enough to offset the surface warmth from the upper-40 F water temps!

Yeah Will, but they are not high resolution, not enough to rely on with the details!

That is one piece of guidance my friend

Think the potential is high for a foot plus on Thursday and at least a six inch maximum for Monday!

The Monday storm has a strong 250-300 mb upper jet streak that moves northeastward up the East Coast, producing intense lift off the coast where the Low begins to intensify! This will aide in a quick 6-9 hour period of intense snow rates as the storm intensifies!

Severe Winter Storm Impact Index: 1.) Nuisance 2.) Significant 3.) Major 4.) Extreme 5.) Crippling Id be fine with 15-18"

yeah

Nah man, this is mine, lol! Man whatever happens is bonus, Anything over 4" would be more than a single event the last two winters for my area.

Please do not trend all that much northwest, let Cape Cod bask in the glory for this upcoming week, and then after Christmas we can get our interior snow event

Amazon Author Page My latest information on my novel!

The Awakening Dawn has been self-published on Amazon.com eBook. Paperback will take a few days, but the official release date is January 1st, 2021.

Hello everyone from Americanwx Forums Tonight, I am announcing my official release date for my first novel, "The Awakening Dawn" (TAD)! The release date will be January 1st, 2021 (New Year's Day around noon EST) Hope you enjoy the novel on its release date, official cost ($0.99) Written by, and story created by James Warren Nichols (Air Force veteran - A1C E-3) discharged in 2012.

Wow, now not much in the way of significant accumulations, but the snow showers will have a good intensity if they can become persistent in areas and the duration will be long enough to allow for an inch of accumulation. Map is posted!

Potential exists for Ocean Effect Snow bands to develop as an upper level low develops to the southwest of the region. Now the evolution of said trough and upper level low remain in question as overall the guidance for 12z 12/06/2020 is still questioning this transition. Newly updated water vapor imagery as I watch, shows the main energy that develops into the upper level closed low is still diving southward with no eastward motion. This suggests it will try and phase with the southern stream system and create a formidable surface storm over the North and South Carolina piedmont region. This low has two avenues of track, one to the ENE and off the coast with little fanfare, or two up the East Coast in more of a NNE track. The latter performs a major impact event for eastern New England, while the former represents little impacts. Ocean Effect Snows will only develop if the ocean storm tracks close enough to the region to veer the flow from an anticyclonic burst of westerly winds, to a more cyclonic burst of NNE to N winds across a very mild Gulf of Maine and Cape Cod Bay. 850mb temps which are found 2500 to 5000 feet above the surface of the ocean, dive into the -6 to -12C range for a good 36 hour period. The winds veer to north-northeasterly at the same time and provide the necessary forcing for ocean effect cloud seeding and developing of snow showers. Again any accumulations will be light!

There is a chance for a few tornadoes tonight across eastern MA and RI. The main threat remains a heavy wind to damaging wind threat today and overnight. We have a chance to see a few hurricane force wind gusts +75 mph!

Models are beginning to show an area of focused vorticity rounding the base of neutral to negatively tilted northern branch of the jet stream trough. Now, energy is over the central North Pacific south of the Aleutian Islands which means the energy is not being sampled properly at this time. However, multi model consensus is beginning to show prudent signs that this trough will be energizing as it moves through which far more productive than a trough that is weakening instead. We have the right trends going as the system ignites over the extremely warm waters relative to average norms for November 30th. While the warm waters are a concern at times, this system will not be driving southeast winds, so the area should remain in a cold environment, enough for snow, I have no idea. Right now, the threat has begun to emerge for Friday December 5th!

Weather folks love to use the Rocky Mountains and the Continental divide as the spacer between the western CONUS and eastern CONUS. The NOAM pattern looks to be in full reversal from this past work week to the next few weeks. The cold situates itself at peak performance in ten to twelve days. The EURO, EURO ENS, GFS, CMC all show a strong signal towards a large +PNA/-EPO spiking ridge over the rocky mountains and the Canadian Northwest Territories. This incredible ridge spike will create cross polar flow across the Arctic and North American Continent. This flow comes straight southward from the Arctic Circle itself which will poor a strong connection of Sub Zero Celsius air all the way towards the Deep South. This strong Air masses will allow the cold to settle in place across the northern half of the CONUS allowing Canadian Arctic High Pressure centers to move across Southern Canada and Northern USA allowing the NE CONUS to be subjected to multiple nor'easter threats. Our first substantial potential powerful winter storm is Thanksgiving Week, Monday the 23rd, that is the signal at least this afternoon cycle 11/13 12z. Again, there is no confidence in a ten day forecast, but today the pattern is showing itself to be a potential. However, before that setup, a large deep arctic air mass will move overhead this upcoming work week from Monday to Thursday before a brief warmup before the real arctic pattern settles in after the 20th...

I just want SNE folks to realize and soak up the warmth the next few days, until a second GRT Lakes storm moves through day 3-5 and then brings a powerful cold front through the region. This should usher in very cold, arctic like air mass into the region and the upper level pattern looks to lock into a +PNA at least through the first few days of Thanksgiving Week! Stay tuned, a coastal redeveloping clipper could move through the region as well around the 17th/18th. Stay alert!

As Celtics Nation and the sports world knows, the one player that everyone associates with the Celtics organization for over sixty years has been the one and only Tommy Heinsohn, one of four players ever to be in the hall of fame in Springfield, MA as a player and a coach and as a broadcaster. Tommy earned eight NBA championships with the Celtics in his nine year NBA career and two more as a Celtics head coach in the 1970s and had spend the final 39 years of his wonderful life as a NBA broadcaster for the 17 time NBA Championship Franchise Boston Celtics. Mike Gorman his play by play man side by side for the last 39 years, brought up a tremendous idea that the Celtics players should have his Celtics jersey number 15 retired to be pinned on the players' jerseys during the games this season, then Brian Scalabrine went a step further and said the NBA as whole might want to show continuity as a whole behind the legend of the NBA with his impact beyond the Celtics. Tommy will forever be missed, but we know God has welcomed him to eternal life! November 10th, 2020 a day we will never forget a year which we hope will leave in the rear view mirror for reasons behind simplistic beliefs.

I am not liking the 15-25" snowfall amounts forecasted for Hyannis

I personally do not see actual GTGs happening this year in this State.

We should pick a day of every other weekend or every weekend for a four hour window for a virtual GTG and then within a three day window of a potential 10"+ regionwide snow event for SNE? We should make the rules and lay the ground work to make this a reality!