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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. That would be incredible if it verified. That’s a beautiful little MCS that would definitely have wind. I don’t want to jinx it, it’s been tuff getting anything to survive east of the city. The good news is water temps have warmed up tremendously in the last week, into the low 70s near shore. From wetsuits needed to nice.
  2. Looks like my place in lynbrook did well. Where I grew up in south wantagh and is still my dads house has managed to miss every single rain event in the last week. I remember as a kid old (original buyers) saying it never rains in south wantagh in the summer. Only north of the southern state. Looks like that’s dead on accurate. Based on current water temps being close to what they were in the 60-80s during the summer. Moving forward Long Island as done well, including south wantagh once the water cracks 75. We had a record flash flood event about 10 years ago in august were we received about 6 inches in 2 hours. (Not the islip event)
  3. SE mass, getting absolutely crushed this morning. Takes some validity away from my cool water destroys convection theory. So there is more to the story as to why western LI (mainly south shore) has completely struck out. We’ll see what happens later today…. Maybe we finally score…
  4. Yup, it hit the force field at NYC and, boom, gone. Pretty amazing to watch day after day. We need ocean temps to warm past 70. Kind like why socal never sees rain in the summer, water temps in the. 50s/60s are just convection destroyers. that’s why you see front reinvigorate after they get to the Gulf Stream. This has happened the last three days
  5. Wow at the 5” totals. I’m sitting at .05”. Has to be one of the greatest cutoff events for our area. With so Many days and so many chances and every single one a fail on the immediate south shore. I don’t think Jones beach has even had .001”
  6. .03” for JFK for this entire event so far. Thats absolutely incredible. Watch the line disappear as soon as it gets to queens later. There is a very valid reason for this. Water temps are in the low 60s which is an extremely stable temp. Thats why most of Long islands extreme rain events of the past have been in august when temps are in the 70s
  7. Usually the city does fairly well and it’s only the island that gets screwed. But wow, we can’t buy decent rain on the uws. Just a couple showers today. It’s, not over though.
  8. That’s exactly why I would choose the mountains, plenty of amenities with the ski resorts year round. Plus that part of upstate ny is flat, so not generally that pretty.
  9. For us yeah, but south Jersey is priming nicely. I fully expect some incredible storms there later.
  10. That would be amazingly ideal. When was the last time we had a regional mcs. I remember so many growing up in the late 80s early 90s! Since then… just like the Alberta clipper, gone….
  11. I’m sure they are in for an exciting day tomorrow. We will more then likely watch a mature squall line fizzle as it hits the metro
  12. Fog was so bad at Jones earlier we had to close the water to swimming again with visibility at zero. Currently it’s foggy but vis is up to about a half a mile.
  13. Exactly. The ultimate screw zone. As a result I was questioned by my boss why I was still watering Friday on campus. (Facilities director) He wanted the system shut off due to the forecast for so much rain. I said umm when in drought expect drought. I was hoping the whole time he would be right and I would be wrong. I was right….. Having both a passion for horticulture and meteorology (I don’t have the math ability to peruse a career in meteorology) I am very well set to feel the needs of the gardens I maintain. And they are the best in the whole city
  14. It’s so foggy at Jones beach currently we had to prevent swimming. High dews traveling over still relatively cool water.
  15. .16” in wantagh and .14” in Manhattan. The inevitable screw zone continues. There has to be a geographic/orographic reasoning behind this consistent result.
  16. Find 50 ways for it not to happen. Though I’m sure some of use will do really well. Just put a stripe of fail right through the City and western li
  17. That’s the storm capital of the east coast. So, doubtful. If you stayed around here you have a much better chance of precip fail!
  18. Just keeps adding to the drought=drought theory. Although the moisture source for this low is the Atlantic. So this is probably more like a too much confluence situation we see with winter storms. Glad I watered yesterday.
  19. Exactly. We need a prolonged very wet period to bring back up ground water levels as well. It’s actually been wetter on the south shore of the island than it has been in the city which is very rare during the warm season. Meanwhile, it definitely does not feel like the first day of summer!
  20. My ideal spot is as high as you can get in the southern greens of Vermont. There’s a poster (Mitch) in the NE forum that’s at 2500’ and averages like 200” a winter. No heat in the summer too at that elevation and you’re only a 4 hour drive from NYC
  21. Just had a nice burst of hail at Jones beach. Pea size but enough to whiten the beach a touch
  22. SNE getting blasted right now. It’s almost like the it wants to rain anywhere but here.
  23. .20” on the uws. I’m literally furious. I didn’t water the campus today because I thought we would be ok. Didn’t even get through some thick perennials. (Irrigation is off for a huge area currently do to events. Drought=drought for the win again as Suffolk somehow scored again
  24. Definitely has something to do with geography and relation to the ocean on a SW flow aloft. But something seems to really be separating them from us the past few years. Endless severe down there and we can’t score
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