jayyy
-
Posts
3,726 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by jayyy
-
That I can attest to. Grew up 30 miles due north of NYC. There were nights we’d get 10-15 degrees colder than Manhattan. Didn’t think Baltimore/DC had such a big UHI effect. Much smaller cities. Wild.
-
How is that possible
-
Can’t wait for the show. Precip def moving NNE and not E in our direction. Going to be a fun morning commute
-
Bring it! No sign the convection in TN or in the Carolinas / Florida is affecting the radar up north. No doubt heavy precipitation makes its way here.
-
Crazy. It’s 6 degrees colder in east HoCo (south of 70) and 8+ degrees colder up north (Carroll, north Baltimore, Frederick counties) . What a difference.
-
Rain, shmain... all snow event coming right up!
-
Gonna Jeb tomorrow in your honor sir.
-
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
jayyy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
LWX going with snow likely - 70% Thursday and Thursday night already. Honk. -
Lol using the gfs now Using an Ensemble model when it’s gonna snow within hours is silly - especially during a banding dependent storm
-
Most certainly cold enough to start as snow out there.
-
See bobs reply for more info. Sorry. Long, long day today.
-
No.
-
@losetoa6 nice convection popping near that SLP. I’m liking what I’m seeing. Radar, to me, looks juicy. Plenty more to the west.
-
I’m definitely optimistic. Seen this song and dance before in this neck of the woods. I’m getting ready for 2-4” of the good stuff and will be delighted if we see more. I have no doubt someone will see 6” . Potentials there no doubt. Think people are putting way too much stock into snow maps tbh.
-
So Baltimore and Howard county get 0.6” qpf and 2” of snow? Makes sense.
-
Nice swath of heavy snow in western NC and NW SC. thunderstorms being reported in TN. Great sign.
-
I missed you man.
-
#juicy
-
You don’t say..... Luckily for you, that’s been the trend all season. Storms end up 50-75 miles NW of what’s progged day before.
-
Temp down to 36.5 already up here in N Frederick county. Bodes well I’d say
-
0.25” of QPF will give you the same amount of snow as coasties who see half an inch of liquid. Think you’ll be alright for 2-3” sir.
-
Think you guys are prime for 3-5 from Montgomery to Howard to Baltimore counties. I agree - current OBS look better (Temps & radar) than models depicted at this point.
-
I’m at the Mount in Emmitsburg to drop my son off at school - there is about 2-3” in snowcover remaining in spots that didn’t get much sun.... but also none in spots that do. Wild. Nearly 30” gone in 5’ish days. Going to be great to get another fresh coating
-
At this point, comparing current OBS to models is definitely the best tool we have to get an idea of how this will go and is much more productive than the live and die by each kuchera snow map approach some take. Know your climo folks! If you live on the water, you’re probably not seeing more snow than PSU or mappy in a marginal storm. That’s just.... the reality we live in here in our CWA
-
Our perspectives are likely geared toward the way our my BYs perform in this type of setup. Bob and I tend to do decently here, being away from the bay and urban heat island. A defined SLP of this strength tracking where it is 9 times out of 10 is giving areas along and NW of I-95 3-5”. Heavy snow at sunrise through noon? It’s sticking.
