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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. It’s a path to victory as the tpv is usually very crushing for us on the east coast. We would just need the confluence to continue to weaken
  2. Didn’t really want to see the euro/eps take a step back at 06z. Sometimes these off hour runs do odd things but we need to see a good trend at 12z
  3. Solid thump for them and another storm that falls just short of 6
  4. Yeah, but the precipitation field was more expensive. I wonder if that’s more because of the ULL passing through?
  5. Hgts increased/confluence weaker/kicker a hair quicker should at the very least have agreement with the op
  6. EPS out to hr72 the ridge is a bit further east but confluence weaker. I think we might see a slight improvement but nothing drastically worst then 18z imo
  7. It came further nw then 18z because confluence was weaker and ridge out west was better. If you cant see that difference I don’t know what to tell you nyc qpf is .5+ now on 18z idk if it broke .2
  8. It’s a huge improvement but for this to mean anything we need some eps support
  9. You can tell early on that this run would be better with how weaker the confluence was north of Maine. now we need the eps to hold serve or improve
  10. The kicker was quicker but the confluence was weaker which allowed the southern stream to do a lot of the heavy lifting
  11. The kicker was a bit quicker but confluence was weaker which allowed the southern stream to do all the heavy lifting
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