bluewave

The east based nature went hand in hand with the overpowering STJ flooding North America with mild Pacific air. So even storms tracking south of the I-95 corridor were all rain near the coast. It was one of the rare cases of the STJ pumping the Eastern ridge in January causing it to link up with the Greenland block. Our recent link ups were mostly Northern Stream driven.

Now what does this have to do with the failure and landslide? We don't yet know whether the ice failed first and brought rock down with it, or if the rock failed first and brought down the glacier. But the glacier had likely been changing in response to a warming climate. 8/ Dr. Robert Rohde @RARohde · 28m Melting glaciers on a steep slope will thin and weaken, and become more prone to fracture and collapse. They also produce water that can seep into cracks in the ground and lubricate the ice-rock interface. 9/ Meltwater and higher temperatures can also cause permafrost to thaw. At elevations like this, where annual average temperatures are well below freezing, permafrost often plays a role in sealing cracks and reinforcing the underlying rock. Thus thawing can weaken the rock. 10/ Post-event photos suggest that the ice (and possibly rock) failed close to the top of the existing slope. If much of the rock and ice remained solid until the point of failure, then the top of the slope would likely have the greatest stresses. https://x.com/theiaincameron/status/2093619041105539386 11/ Was the tragedy in Nepal and Tibet due, in part, to climate change? My view is probably yes. The connection remains circumstantial and lacks a smoking gun, but the circumstances certainly make it seem likely. 15/ 10:42 AM · Sep 1, 2026 · All landslides involve an interplay of complex factors Glaciologists and geologists will work to pin down the details, but melting is known to make events like this more likely, and given the circumstances it would be surprising if global warming wasn't a factor here.

I think part of what saved February in 1983 was Nino 1+2 didn’t peak until the summer and wasn’t as extreme as 1997-1998 was during the winter.

The CanSIPS completely missed how east based this event has become and is just repeating the same error in its current forecast. Most other models also showed this but not to the same degree. It also underestimated the record warm pool east of Japan so I would take forecasts in that area with a pinch of salt also.

September getting off to a high dewpoint start.

If we correct for the trees close to the NYC ASOS artificially cooling the highs, then NYC finished August warmer than average like the other stations. August maximum temperature departures NYC….-0.7 EWR….+0.9 LGA….+0.2 JFK…..+1.2 HPN…..+0.9 BDR….+0.4 ISP……+0.8 NBW….+1.5 PHL…..+1.5 MPO….+0.6 SMQ…..0.0 FWN….+1.5

Yeah, the increasing summer heatwaves across Europe and other parts of the Northern Hemisphere are being driven more by the CGT pattern. This pattern is operating independently of ENSO. So this is how we got such a contradictory pattern in Europe and other areas compared to past developing super El Niños. Building on this, we propose that the circumglobal wave (CGW) pattern, also known as the circumglobal teleconnection pattern (35, 36), drives the extended duration of NWP MHWs. This prominent summer circulation feature spans the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitude band (36). While prior studies have linked the CGW to terrestrial extreme weather—such as heatwaves in Europe, Asia, and North America (37–41)—its role in NWP MHW dynamics remains underexplored. Given that CGW activity peaks during boreal summer, aligning with the documented maximum in NWP MHW intensity and frequency (25, 42–46), it provides a compelling mechanism for initiating and sustaining these events beyond local forcing alone. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adz4647 Marine heatwaves in the Northwestern Pacific (NWP) have become increasingly frequent and persistent, yet the mechanisms enabling their multiseasonal duration remain poorly understood. Through observational analyses and climate model experiments, we demonstrate that NWP marine heatwaves are primarily driven by a quasistationary wavenumber 5 circumglobal wave (CGW) pattern that operates independently of El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The CGW modulates surface heat fluxes during summer, triggering a self-reinforcing feedback loop where NWP warming intensifies the CGW pattern, amplifying and prolonging heatwaves across extended warm seasons. Additionally, CGW-driven summer warming in the northern North Atlantic persists into winter through oceanic thermal inertia, exciting a great-circle wave pattern that propagates back to the NWP, sustaining heatwaves through cold seasons. This interplay between atmospheric waves and trans-basin interactions enables multiyear marine heatwave events. Analysis of observational data and climate model simulations reveals a strengthening CGW influence in recent decades, indicating more frequent and prolonged NWP marine heatwaves under ongoing global warming.

You have to remember that the summer of 1984 had warmer departures in the Northeast than Philly had. So that’s why JFK had a higher ranking relative to Philly. This was the 3rd warmest summer for Philly and 4th warmest in ACY. Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) Warmest Summers Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 79.6 0 2 2022 79.3 0 3 2026 78.8 1 - 2016 78.8 0 4 2024 78.5 0 - 1995 78.5 0 5 2020 78.3 0 - 1994 78.3 0 6 1993 78.2 0 7 2012 78.0 0 - 2011 78.0 0 8 1991 77.9 0 9 2005 77.8 0 Time Series Summary for Atlantic City Area, NJ (ThreadEx) Warmest Summers Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 77.5 0 2 2020 76.9 0 - 2011 76.9 0 3 2018 76.5 0 4 2026 76.3 1 - 2019 76.3 0 5 2024 76.1 0 6 2022 75.8 0 - 2016 75.8 0 - 2005 75.8 0 7 2021 75.6 0 8 2008 75.5 0 9 1984 75.3 0 10 2006 75.2 0 11 1983 75.1 0

More evidence that the ridge is operating independently of ENSO as we have seen this summer regardless of ONI, RONI, MEI, and SOI. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adz4647 Marine heatwaves in the Northwestern Pacific (NWP) have become increasingly frequent and persistent, yet the mechanisms enabling their multiseasonal duration remain poorly understood. Through observational analyses and climate model experiments, we demonstrate that NWP marine heatwaves are primarily driven by a quasistationary wavenumber 5 circumglobal wave (CGW) pattern that operates independently of El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The CGW modulates surface heat fluxes during summer, triggering a self-reinforcing feedback loop where NWP warming intensifies the CGW pattern, amplifying and prolonging heatwaves across extended warm seasons. Additionally, CGW-driven summer warming in the northern North Atlantic persists into winter through oceanic thermal inertia, exciting a great-circle wave pattern that propagates back to the NWP, sustaining heatwaves through cold seasons. This interplay between atmospheric waves and trans-basin interactions enables multiyear marine heatwave events. Analysis of observational data and climate model simulations reveals a strengthening CGW influence in recent decades, indicating more frequent and prolonged NWP marine heatwaves under ongoing global warming.

Occurring during such a strong developing El Niño made this even more extreme relative to what has occurred in the past.

JFK was able to finish this summer with the 4th highest number of 95°+days similar to some of the big 90° summers you mentioned. But stronger sea breezes overall lead to a lower total of 90°+ days than those years. So the higher end heat early on boosted JFK into the top 10 of warmest summers. While the developing super El Nino summer of 2015 was also warm for average temperatures at JFK, it didn’t have the major 95°+ and 100°+ heat this summer had. So the magnitude of the heat this summer was a first for such a high end El Niño event. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jun through Aug 95°+ days Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 10 0 2 1963 8 0 3 2002 7 0 - 1999 7 0 4 2026 6 2 - 2013 6 0 - 1949 6 0 5 2012 5 0 - 1983 5 0 - 1966 5 0 - 1955 5 0 6 2025 4 0 - 2022 4 0 - 2006 4 0 - 1993 4 0 - 1991 4 0 - 1974 4 0 - 1968 4 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Warmest Summers Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 77.1 0 2 2016 76.5 0 3 2022 76.1 0 4 2015 76.0 0 5 2024 75.8 0 - 2011 75.8 0 6 2020 75.7 0 7 1983 75.6 0 8 2026 75.4 2 - 1984 75.4 0 9 2012 75.3 0 - 1991 75.3 0 10 2025 75.2 0 - 1971 75.2 0 - 1949 75.2 0 All-time Maximum 1-Day Mean Max Temperature for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 104.0 1966-07-03 through 1966-07-03 2 103.0 2011-07-22 through 2011-07-22 3 102.0 2026-07-02 through 2026-07-02 - 102.0 2025-06-25 through 2025-06-25 - 102.0 2025-06-24 through 2025-06-24 - 102.0 2011-07-23 through 2011-07-23 - 102.0 1999-07-05 through 1999-07-05 - 102.0 1963-07-01 through 1963-07-01 4 101.0 2010-07-06 through 2010-07-06 - 101.0 2010-07-04 through 2010-07-04 - 101.0 1993-07-09 through 1993-07-09 - 101.0 1966-07-04 through 1966-07-04 - 101.0 1966-07-02 through 1966-07-02 - 101.0 1957-07-22 through 1957-07-22 - 101.0 1948-08-27 through 1948-08-27 5 100.0 2026-07-04 through 2026-07-04 - 100.0 2026-07-03 through 2026-07-03 - 100.0 2013-07-18 through 2013-07-18 - 100.0 2010-07-07 through 2010-07-07 - 100.0 1993-07-10 through 1993-07-10 - 100.0 1983-08-20 through 1983-08-20 - 100.0 1983-07-16 through 1983-07-16 - 100.0 1972-07-23 through 1972-07-23 - 100.0 1948-08-26 through 1948-08-26

The stuck fronts are a function of the increasing summer high pressure over Eastern Canada building down to east of New England at times. This also enhances the dew points with more onshore flow. Also leads to multiple flash flooding events across the area. We used to get more high pressure to our west with offshore flow prior to this decade. Those were the years you highlighted with more 90° days at JFK. These days the higher 90° counts are west of the sea breeze front in NJ.

The most east based super El Niño event on record for this time of year.

We can add August 2026 to the list also. Monthly Data for August 2026 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ CLARK TWP 1.3 ENE CoCoRaHS 12.43 NJ HARRISON COOP 11.74 NJ CRANFORD TWP 1.1 ESE CoCoRaHS 10.93 NY FRANKLIN SQUARE 1.1 N CoCoRaHS 10.90 NJ KEARNY 1.7 NNW CoCoRaHS 10.84 NJ CLARK TWP 0.7 SSW CoCoRaHS 10.83 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 10.16

Thread] [1/6] I think we can now confidently say that France is going through the greatest national agricultural disaster since 1945. Without public aid, 30,000 to 35,000 farms could find themselves in bankruptcy, which is nearly 10% of French agricultural holdings. That's monstrous. The exceptional weather conditions we're experiencing today are getting closer to what will become much more frequent, or even ordinary, in the coming decades. 2026 will be in line with the average for 2050. We'll see even hotter and more extreme years than 2026. The realization is therefore becoming hard to avoid: our agricultural model is not sufficiently prepared for the climate change that's coming. It's also the result of a collective political failure: successive governments haven't fully grasped the scale of the upheavals that climate change is already imposing on our agriculture, and will impose tomorrow. It's no longer just about repairing the damage after every drought, heatwave, or poor harvest. We now need to undertake a structural transformation of our agriculture. Here are the most reliable yield losses I could find compared to the average of the last 5 years (only for spring and summer crops). Rate this translation: