Stebo

Ya the hrrr is trash here

Obviously the HRRR came south and weaker at 12z, that was to be expected, the NAMs also came south some as well with the snow shield.

Yeah I am doubting a 973mb low through the straits.

GFS has the Canadian models agreeing with it, the euro is a bit north but would still hit the northern suburbs, the mesoscale models like the NAM and HRRR are the ones far to the north.

Yeah, I normally don't disagree with DTX, but with the holiday travel and the face that the western part of their CWA is absolutely going to be warning criteria, I don't get the reluctance. I would do WSW for the entire CWA, it's borderline but the travel would be the tipping point to a warning

I don't think the negative lake influence will be as prevalence as some models show.

Looking good time to lock it in

I don't think it will be that prolific but I would lean more right than left. Mostly because we are rapidly running out of time for a rug pull. The amount of cold air in place is going to do work and with the current system being as strong as it will be it limits the cutability of this one.

How often is Kankakee in the lead on snow, let the man have his flowers.

Climo is tough to fight, you probably average half of places like Chicago and here.

Peoria is pretty far south, so yeah being skeptical down there is a good move. This is probably more of an I-80 north threat.

The amount of cold air being in place before this lifts out will be hard to shunt away. I am not surprised by the amount of WAA snows the models are showing.

Yessir, I drove home after that storm for my birthday, 2 days after it was done we were still buried.

Nice, FIRE UP, class of 08 here.

Mt Pleasant, CMU student?