coastalplainsnowman
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Everything posted by coastalplainsnowman
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Who was the guy on predecessor weather boards a hundred years ago who used make snow in his backyard every chance he could, and post photos of it? Those were good times, feels like about 15-20 years ago?
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Not just leaved, but looks like there's still a decent amount of green. Crazy. It's confusing to me too, not just the trees.
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All I know is that we're at least talking possibilities, where just a few days ago there seemed to be general consensus that we were gettin nuttin' for Christmas (or New Years ((or MLK (or PD.)))) Like every good Jet fan, I just want a slightly-greater-than-mathematical chance at some fun around Christmas. It looks like that is now possible. No, not for the Jets, of course not, don't be ridiculous - right now that's like asking for a sharknado in January. I mean just for somewhat winterlike weather.
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Two layman's thoughts here: - Observing over the years, despite a lot of really impressive calls from way out, I also can remember many times where there was stone cold lead pipe lock consensus that there was no way anything good would be happening in the next three weeks, only for something totally unexpected and good to occur within that timeframe. So I'm not giving up. - No matter what, we'll get an annoying 60 degree day in the week leading up to Christmas to mess up the mood. That seems to be a regular feature around here much of the last 10 or so years.
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Does this mean that the measured daytime temperatures at this time each year are influenced by the timing of when most of the leaves have fallen?
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I would love to try to do a correlation between variables like average temp, average high temp, average low temp, total precip, etc, for, say, Jan 1 - Oct. 1 against 'date of peak color', or 'date of 99% leaves fallen' Nobody tracks leaf-related stats like that though, do they?
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I know that no one seems as worked up about this as me, but is anyone else floored by the delay in fall foliage on LI? While the trees that usually start hitting peak three weeks ago are starting to get there now, the trees that typically change later are ridiculously behind. The oaks have barely begun to lose their leaves. The maples have only now, in the last day or so, begun to show some color and drop a few dozen leaves. I know these are among the trees which lose their leaves later, but still. Anecdotally: Anyone around LI remember trudging through leaves on Halloween afternoon as a kid? There were virtually no leaves on the ground to speak of this year. Also, typically by the weekend before Thanksgiving, if memory serves, I can usually do my major fall cleanup and get the Christmas decorations out, with a few light rounds of touchup to follow. We are easily 3 weeks away from that. Time on my hands today obviously.
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Unusual look to the sky in SE Nassau looking NE. To my layman's eye looks almost like thunderstorms backbuilding WSW-ward against an already cloudy (but not as dark) sky.
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Hey just wondering, are the leaves ever going to start to change on LI this year? I’m sure it’s delayed due to warmth and maybe muted due to warm and dry? This is insane. Still looks like August except a little bit on zalcovas and some others which always change first.
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Watching the first NFL game of the year tonight, it occurred to me that the most recent NFL game was the Super Bowl on Sunday, Feb 7th. That was the day/evening of that perfectly timed, pretty, moderate snowfall that left beautiful skies and cold crisp air in its wake at dusk. Made for a perfect night of football watching.
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Figured banter was the best place for this. In case you don't already have it, a page with various traffic cams in Montauks and the Hamptons: https://hamptons.com/all-live-cameras/ The one of the Montauk circle stands out. So deserted compared to what a typical August Sunday AM would look like.
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I've always wanted to ask here what folks consider to be central Suffolk. I think people generally consider Central Suffolk to be roughly Smithtown to Manorville. If you take a ruler out though and measure from the Nassau/Suffolk border to Montauk, isn't Central Suffolk really more like Riverhead? I feel like the common Central Suffolk definition would be correct if there was actually a Peconic County like they wanted to create years ago..
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When you guys say 'Henri' in your mind, are you pronouncing it as 'HEN-ree' or 'on-REE'? I feel the latter makes this event seem much more serious.
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Having seen this topic in my kids Regents Earth Science more times than I can remember, I'm going to go way out of my depth here and answer, using a regents study guide to support me, specifically Barron's Let's Review: Earth Science the Physical Setting, p. 574 lol, which, yes, I had nearby. "During the day land surfaces heat up faster than water. The higher temperatures over the land result in lower air pressures, while the lower temperatures over the water result in higher air pressures there. A wind develops that blows from the high pressure area over the water toward the low pressure area over the land." I must have time on my hands this morning lol
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I totally agree. Most of on the south shore take that afternoon cooldown for granted. I know I'm working with a small sample and somewhat anecdotal here, but whenever I'm on the northern part of the island in say Smithtown, Hauppauge, etc, at an outdoor gathering, the afternoons there on hot days are so different than at home, where much of the time we get the onshore flow. Same as I remember when spending time in the summer in central/northern NJ. It's our small reward here for dealing with that same onshore flow that makes late April / May days, especially afternoons, miserable here when they are beautiful as close by as, say, East Meadow. Also for ruining the biggest winter storms that get a little too close (yes I know sometimes we benefit in brush-by events but that is more rare...)
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Wow, those previous records were really smoked, no? Taking a quick average looks like the records were broken across these 19 sites by an average of about -5.6 degrees. Seems like a lot.
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I can't seem to find it, but a week or so back there were interesting posts about how if we hit freezing this April that it'd be the first time in a long time that we had at least one freezing day from October through April. Would anyone be able to please confirm whether that's been officially accomplished?
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The surprise for me with this data is how commonplace it was even going back to the 1970s, to hit 80 in April, with a mean of April 23rd. Would never have guessed that. Always thought that hitting 80 before May was a fluke. Edit: Same for 80s in October. Always thought that was unusual too, but apparently that was commonplace in the 70s too. The range between them has expanded for sure tho, as shown by bluewave.
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I love early Spring afternoons on the south shore of LI. By 'love', I mean 'hate.'
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Anyone else get a sort of seasonal confusion once in awhile, specifically this time of year? Yesterday felt like an unseasonably mild late October day. Same thing with the frost this morning, like there should be pumpkins out and November is around the corner. Maybe its the similar sun angle, or maybe the level of humidity, I don't know.
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I was just studying this map. If I'm reading it correctly , the 2m temps just few miles SW of that 63 in the Hamptons was in the low-mid 40s, colder than anyplace else on the map. Any reason to think that wouldn't be accurate, or any reason what would cause temps to be notably lower in that area? Just curious.
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More than crazy, it's irritating. As someone who ties holiday mood to cold weather (perhaps this is in the medical books somewhere), these diabolically placed 60 degree days just before Christmas which have seemed to occur almost every year since about 2013 have got to go.
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Not to overhype this, but I found this illusion to be pretty amazing. Meteorology-related too: https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/mar/05/ship-hovering-above-sea-cornwall-optical-illusion