Bubbler86

54 and almost 100% Sunny near noon. Good shot for my first day of the season with no AC running.

My current insurance for a replacement value of ~ 500K is ~ $500 a year (not in Florida.) That large difference and the rapid increases from 15 years ago are probably the issues most have whether insurance is 2K, 3K or 4K. Between taxes and insurance, the penalty for living in Florida is having a "mortgage" in perpetuality even when the note is paid off.

Yea, that is extremely cheap for Florida. I moved from there in 2018 and was paying almost that for a 2100 Sq foot house south of Ocala and prices have doubled since then in that area. I have seen cheaper prices for homes built since 2020.

People in Ocala with as new homes, 2000-2010 types, are paying twice that per year. I do not know anyone there paying less than 4K for a standard 1800 Sq foot house. Some of the issue is home values as many of their homes are 300-400K (not that much but double what they were 10 years ago)

On ground report from a friend in Daytona. Got about 4 feet of surge back 1.5 blocks from the coast. Flooded bottom floor/basement like area and killed their electric as it got into their circuit box. Also lost shingles from the wind.

Here is something we are really good at and do not need warmups up here0 and more tropical mischief down there.

LOL

The surge was south of them thank goodness. Still waiting to hear how bad it was. I know Sanibel got hit badly.

Last year we made it to Nov here. Still think that is possible.

My first potted plants warning is coming soon. Just missed this one. Potted plants are a mixed thing as we see it on the way in and out of winter.

41 this AM.

Those model runs of 1-2 feet of rain, from 7-10 days ago, were quite prophetic.

The way this storm has stopped has really mitigated the initial surge. Will see what happens when the winds veer. An outer eye wall of 60 miles also mitigating it. Inner Corner just south of Sarasota right now.

Homeowne has their irrigation on behind the Mike Bettes interview. Need some sensors.

Northern Eyewall coming ashore in Tampa/St Pete right now per Bettes.

The eye way ranges from Southern Tampa Bay down to south of Sarasota right now with the center being near Sarasota. Extremely large eye now.

Extreme Wind Warning FLC057-081-103-100130- /O.NEW.KTBW.EW.W.0001.241009T2236Z-241010T0130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Extreme Wind Warning National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL 636 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a * Extreme Wind Warning for... Manatee County in west central Florida... Pinellas County in west central Florida... Hillsborough County in west central Florida... * Until 930 PM EDT. * At 635 PM EDT, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated extreme winds, associated with the eyewall of Hurricane Milton, were moving onshore along a line extending from 6 miles southwest of South Bradenton to 25 miles southwest of Anna Maria to 52 miles southwest of Saint Armands Key, moving northeast at 30 mph. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION! PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado was approaching and move immediately to the safe room in your shelter. Take action now to protect your life! &&

I think most people left will not get rescue until windows go below 40. He has his eyes on Tampa right now with the eye wall. But he is falling apart like the Cowboys Super Bowl aspirations.

I think some East Coast people are in for a tough time as well. From the 'Cane itself then the onshore flow once it passes by.

It seems to be moving for the coast a bit early compared to some of the models the last 24 hours...but will go with high Cat 2 or Low Cat 3 at landfall. With it being 130 now, Cat 4 is probably off the books.

Wobble, wobble, wobble. Forecast track has moved North a bit but still into Bradenton or Sarasota vs. Tampa WFLA.com Wobble Tracker

Florda Man is an insult. Ha. I unfortunately think this thing landfalls into Tampa or St Pete and throws 10–15-foot surge into Tampa and still destroys LBK, AMI, Bradenton Beaches, etc. This is all assuming the surge predicts are right, I have no way of knowing that other than to trust those models. I think the worst case for money is a landfall from Cedar Key down to Sarasota. If I am wrong and it is down as far as Sarasota, then Tampa is spared some surge. The Barrier Islands all the way down to the tip of Florida get flooded as well if it landfalls between Cedar Key and Sarasota. Someone could see surge going 5-10 miles inland.

Nooners...58 and Mostly Sunny. Milton moving NNE now as Tampa watches nervously.

It is still just 41 right now. Someone Waybesboro itself reporting 38.