Roofus...did well with the temps this AM outside some valley temps like up north of Harrisburg. It is warmer than the HRRR/3K/Rgem for tomorrow AM. Time to put it to trial and see how it does. Rgem, HRRR and 3K all have some colder pockets getting down to 31-32
Not even close to a freeze so far for many. For me, today was the peak of the cold as to morning lows. Colder over there tomorrow Am on the 3K. The Canadian continues to keep everyone in the 35ish range into next week with good radiational nights despite highs being above normal.
I believe graupel counts as snow but agree it was not traditional sleet in that it was frozen, melted, then froze again. It was below freezing in his area from about 850-900 and up it appears. Still very impressive for mid-Oct.
CXY up to 58 or 59 as they try to surprise with a 60's day....LNS 56 to 57. MDT lagging like usual at 55 or 56. Up to 51 over here.
Edit-THV is back! They are up to 57 as of now.
Yea, it appears some in the LSV are going to go past their forecast highs unless it just stops rising. Looks like you were forecast 55 or close. Models do show a level off, but HRRR gets you into the upper 50's.
I wonder if MDT is going to need to do better with their lows for us to cut all the way into the AN number right now. Their 42 this AM was only 4BN. Progs have highs being Normal or above again starting Friday.
Approx mid-way through this 31-day month and MDT stands at 1.7AN. I am not going to try any MJS Little Professor like attempts at guessing what it will be in 2 plus weeks but going to say it will end the month well AN based on the MR and LR models as of now although progged coolish nights should keep it from going too high.
MDT with several gusts in the low to mid 40's. A bit surprised they are climbing in temp though. It has dropped down to 52 here but back up to 62 or 63 there. Reinforcing cold shot lagging a bit maybe.
That was Pressure Anomaly showing the sprawling High pressure systems in Southern Canada (eventually) and SE US keeping most of the country dry. USGS cannot be happy.