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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    @poolz1 The GEFS did well as Ventrice mentioned, identifying the cold period , see below. And check out the GEFS 18z I believe the GEPS is also cold, but the EPS is not. Maybe the EPS will move towards the GEFS This vortex feature near Feb 10 th. swings through.
  2. frd
    Latest NAM state forecast
  3. frd
    Looks great for us ! Can't ask for more at this time.
  4. frd
    @psuhoffman thoughts ? More spread?
  5. frd
    Up in the New York area they are panicking that everything will be South of them. Have to view the EPS and see what the trends are, if any.
  6. frd
    What's the potential cause or issue ?
  7. frd
    @psuhoffman Do you think based on the modeling today Eastern areas can see a mostly snow event ? I realize we still have some time to go, but would appreciate any insights, thanks !
  8. frd
    If the NAM shows more confluence, which presently it might be going towards, do we consider it or just view it as the NAM at range ?
  9. frd
    Not going to be happy
  10. frd
    EPS schooling the GFS.
  11. frd
    May go the entire month of February with a - AO. Meanwhile, NW and Western Canada will load with a deepening arctic air mass and it appears that makes it way East in time behind a cutter and then a wave may travel afterwards ushering in the arctic air. When you have as weak vortex, such as we have currently, you can go to this look.
  12. frd
    HM update
  13. frd
    HM mentioning the AAM moving forward.
  14. frd
    Way out there, but one way the pattern evolves. Cold may not be an issue in this time frame. Indices would suggest a high impact winter storm might be possible .
  15. frd
    We are LONG overdue for some positive trends in our hood !
  16. frd
    Continued blocking in February looking more and more likely, combined with an increasing probability of help form the Pac side , and the ongoing the evolution from the SSWE and colder source regions.
  17. frd
    Another interesting look, including the Atlantic side.
  18. frd
    Now I am really interested ! Improvements for @CAPE and my area.
  19. frd
    Day After Tomorrow This has overall support moving forward. Maybe a wave before this arctic blast and a large storm afterwards, during a relax period. . Initial moisture may be an issue, but it looks like opportunities will be there as mentioned by @MillvilleWx
  20. frd
    Best look yet in the 10 day mean
  21. frd
    Would think it helps the folks in the Eastern areas possibly. Seems the GEFS members were better as well this morning.
  22. frd
  23. frd
    Morning Euro overall held steady and from what I am hearing maybe some subtle improvements in terms of the transfer and trough placement.
  24. frd
  25. frd
    Good luck down there. Maybe eventually there will be another snow on snow event. As you mentioned, everything is so complicated when it comes to snow these days.
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