frd

What an explosion of cloud tops over North Central Va., and to a lesser extent of SE PA last 90 minutes https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

Picked up an additional .30 , that plus last night gives me .94. Appears another area of storms will drop down from Se PA and NE MD. Very active July for sure !

Incoming storm from the NW , didn't think I would get in on this round. Lots of distant thunder but so far not much rain, yet.

That could be a big rain producing period, then its Fall. ( for a couple days )

Have to keep an eye on possible training storms later for the potential of flash flooding. Mount Holly AFD mentions that the Southeastern portion of the forecast area has a marginal risk for training storms, other areas are slight risk. As we get into the afternoon, increasing instability across the area with daytime heating will result in showers and thunderstorms developing through much of the remainder of the day. Likely and categorical pops will continue in the forecast. These showers and storms will be very efficient rain producers resulting in the potential for heavy rainfall. Storm motions look to be fast enough to keep the threat for flooding localized but if storms repetitively train over an area, the threat for flash flooding will be higher. WPC has a SLIGHT risk for much of the area with a MARGINAL risk for the southeastern portion of the region where the threat for training thunderstorms is slightly less. SPC maintains a MARGINAL risk for severe thunderstorms too with damaging winds as the primary threat.

July so far

.65 overnight. Good old fashion thunderstorm.

.15 last evening.

Yup, having a moderate shower here currently. Could have been better, as the earlier storm missed to the East.

Yes, will be cool to see how it unfolds. meanwhile Accuweather on the cool down bus.

92/77 heat index 106

From the WPC Day 6 to 7 By Wednesday and especially Thursday the cold fronts slowly pushing south could provide a focus for enhanced rain amounts in the East, which will be refined in future forecasts.

Currently 88/76 here with a heat index of 99. You might think its bad here, thankfully we do not have to deal with corn sweat.

Maybe we start to get some better surfing waves by the mid to third week of August, not too crazy please, but maybe just enough to make if more interesting.

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1948522507922792876 Interestng read from Webber

Mid Atlantic surf zone and offshore SSTs are on fire compared to last year at this time.

Pretty much insignificant rain for the Eastern areas, given the high temps and strong sun. Flooding concerns of 6 days ago are not going to happen, things have changed.

Very nice outside. Currently 80° with a dew point of 64 and a South wind at 15 mph. Better dog walking weather than last week

The WPC has decreased the rainfall potential this weekend, and the 7 day total is generally decreased from the last update.

Appears rain chances are decreasing as a result of this overall pattern change.

Pretty cool journey this airmass took.

If this is correct, this is nuts for July 22 nd. Peak surf zone temps are normally mid to late August. Today's North Wildwood sea temperature is 81.0°F (Which is 7.2°F warmer than normal for this time of year)

Ha ha Delaware is the epi center, or in this case the oblong center.

Smelled very smokey here this morning near 7:30 A.M. I have not checked, but with the winds NW makes me wonder. For a couple hours it was a very strong smell.

Today overachieved the high temp here at 86, Philly hit 87. Looking forward to tonight and tomorrow. Currently 86/61