frd

Interesting. If sun comes out was going to mow the lawn. If not later Tuesday. Not many nice days in the forecast. Appears to be a very active end of week with more clouds and chances of rain.

Mount Holly thinks its a good bet we go up towards 80 in the Delmarva zones. We shall see. Front did make it much further South than anticipated. The biggest challenge for today will undoubtedly be the temperature forecast. A big "boom or bust" temperature day for those in the vicinity of the frontal boundary. The frontal boundary has made it much farther south, and with much more potency than previously expected. Given this trend, the high temperature forecast was lowered by several degrees for areas near, north, and east of the Philly metro. Delmarva should easily climb back into the upper 70s to near 80 degrees again.

Decent area of clearing moving from West to East. Wondering if it make it to us, if so, it would warm up rather quickly from Philly South.

Maybe a thunderstorm tomorrow evening or overnight From Mount Holly this morning : skies are expected to be mostly cloudy Monday but temperatures are still forecast to warm into the low to mid 70s. The cloudy skies will also helping limit daytime heating and overall instability with MUCAPE values largely less than 1000 J/kg. However, there will be very strong dynamics and shear in place, so much of the area remains in a SLIGHT risk of severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center, mainly for damaging wind gusts within severe thunderstorms. It is also worth noting, however, that the 0-1 km shear and helicity look to be quite high so a tornado or two will be possible. Confidence on this is lower though. The best chance for some severe weather will come during the afternoon and early evening while the heavy rain threat will be highest through the mid to late evening into the early overnight hours as storms tend to grow upscale and instability becomes more elevated.

Yesterday outside and landscaping with zero bugs, today everything is out, I liked yesterday way more !

JB will be happy .

Lots of clouds this morning and a few sprinkles as well.

Sounds hopeful.

Maybe the heavy rains in the Midwest will make it to our area past day 5, and extend through hours 360

Too much hype and faith in the AI Euro model. Still waiting on my 36 inch snowstorm , and my 11 inch snowstorm, and my 6 inch snowstorm, and my 5 inch snowstorm......etc.

Exactly. Very discouraging for agriculture and for the water tables. Soil moisture levels continue to decline and will do so even more the next couple days with the warmer temperatures.

Monday has the potential to reach 75 to 79 F. Second warmest day this year following Saturday's 80 degree day in many areas.

A bit stormy hopefully.

We are not in the highest probabilities for above rainfall. Better than brown though.

That is true, so many red flag warnings the past year.

His sourdough bread looks yummy. Very healthy I hear.

Although not totally drought related, the warmth coming this Saturday only occurs in one out of every 10 March days. Difficult to say this brief Warm-up is an indication of a hot summer coming up. Time will tell. There certainly have been times when the warmth has been concentrated during the months of April to June and then we have more normal temperatures from July until September.

Very frustrating. I look at the rainfall potential over the next four to days , and then over days 6 and 7 . You have areas of rainfall the highest to the east of us over the Atlantic and to the west of us. The Eastern seaboard continues to suffer in our area.

30 here.

If anything this should translate into rainfall potential, however, weeks 3 to 4 look drier

I could care less for 90 since summer lasts here until the end of October, 8 months from now. Rainfall and drought feedback will play a role here this summer despite some modeling going with the core of the heat in the Midwest and Plains.

Yes, but not loving the lack of sunshine now for Fri., Sat and Sunday. What was sunny is now cloudy. I rather have 50 and sunny, versus cloudy and 60.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Warm front gradually lifting northward across the area Thursday night through Friday night should result in an overall milder trend, though passing low pressure may produce some rain, especially across northern parts of the region and especially Friday night. The warm advection should result in lows mostly above freezing Thursday night, highs approaching or passing 60 in much of the area Friday, and lows remaining in the much milder 40s to low 50s Friday night. This front then starts to stall to our northeast, and passing waves of low pressure along it may cause oscillations. The end result is that while overall, the weekend looks mild, a northeast to southwest temperature gradient is expected, with areas closer to New York City more likely to struggle to reach 60 both days, while the central Delmarva could easily be well into the 70s. Chances of rain will likewise be higher across the north, with much less chance down in the Delmarva. Lows Saturday night will also be mild, likely 40s north and 50s south. Stronger frontal system then likely crosses the region Sunday night into Monday, with better shower coverage region-wide, but also warmth becoming more widespread a southerly winds increase just before frontal passage. This likely pushes lows into the 50s for much of the area Sunday night with most of the region reaching the 60s Monday, with 70s more likely in the Delmarva.

Modeling seems to have the core of the heat in the center of the country with a pretty bad drought developing there. Also of note, our area is painted as having normal rainfall.

April severe time period showing up.