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Everything posted by Rjay
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Lol. Maybe you do get him and I just don't haha
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Hairy piglet Mashed potato sundae Fire and ice 1004mb low Best Tommy E
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No it wasn't. If you reread what he said he didn't actually say anything, like usual.
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Based on all the non-gfs guidance. If the 700mb low goes over NYC we dry slot/snizzle/sleet.
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As of now, I really think this looks like a snow to sleet storm for Monmouth up to maybe ewr and east to nyc and LI. A crusher for the rest of NNJ, Harrisburg to Scranton and the Hudson Valley.
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The problem is you can't see the important layers or the mid level lows.
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Use this link around 12:20. It doesn't have a lot of parameters and it's pretty awful but you'll be to see more than you can now. https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/new-jersey/sea-level-pressure/20201218-0000z.html
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It likely goes north or nne from the Delmarva coastline to Cape May or AC before heading due east to it's position in the 2nd frame. There's no way of knowing how tucked it really is into the NJ coastline until we ger the better images. I dropped a link in here earlier. Use it around 12:20am. Gn.
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The cmc had been very consistent until this run bumped a bit further west ***this run not included in the gif
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I still think it ends up south of I90 but so far most of the guidance disagrees with that. I was likely wrong with my Poughkeepsie cutoff but we'll see. I still expect a real sharp cutoff on the north side of this.
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Thanks. I never checked. Pivotalweather has it https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=700th&rh=2020121412&fh=6&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
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Fyi, the site I posted is not user friendly
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Too busy at work to look deeper. Use this link and post what you find. https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/new-jersey/sea-level-pressure/20201218-0000z.html
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