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Rjay

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Everything posted by Rjay

  1. Brightbanding makes total rainfall estimates from radars useless. The red is 6" lol
  2. 37 degrees and north winds gusting to 40mph
  3. Yeah, def invite him
  4. DCA: +1.5 NYC: +2.0 BOS: +2.5 ORD: +1.0 ATL: 0.0  IAH: 0.0 DEN: +3.0 PHX: +2.0 SEA: +1.8
  5. Great day to eat outside. I hope people take that option.
  6. Islip got 18" I think. Had a decent amount (6"+) in my area too. Just can't remember how much.
  7. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 315 PM EST FRI MAR 02 2001 DISC: EXPLAING THE MODELS AT THIS TIME IS ANTICLIMATIC SO ILL GET RIGHT INTO THE MODEL INTERPRETATION/COORDINATION AND THE POTENTIAL EFFECTS IN OUR CWA. FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS THIS PACKAGE IS TO ISSUE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR ENTIRE CWA FOR SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF RAIN IN THE MORNING FOR COASTAL PLAIN-COUNTIES BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW BUT THE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OFF THE N.C. COAST AND THE MAGNITUDE OF THE EVENT IN OUR CWA IS DICTATING THE EARLY WWA RELEASE ESPECIALLY WITH THE RAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW. ITS THE FIRST TIME THAT I CAN REMEMBER A START TIME BUT NOT AN ENDING TIME IN SIGHT. THE SNOW BEGINS IN EARNEST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES HEAVY AT TIMES INTO MONDAY AND PERHAPS EARLY TUE. THIS STORM WILL ALSO BRING COASTAL FLOODING PROB LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY TUE BUT THE CONCERN WILL BE FOR THE OCEAN FRONT FROM THE HEAVY WAVE ACTION AND RESULTING BEACH EROSION. AS THE STORM RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES ON SUN THE WINDS ARE GOING TO TURN TO THE NORTH BUT WITH THE PRESSURE SO LOW THE TIDES WILL STILL RISE AND PUT US IN A MODERATE TO POSSIBLY SEVERE CATEGORY ON MONDAY.
  8. Weird. My phone keeps auto correcting "Thanksgiving" to "superspreader event".
  9. How many people are you having at your superspreader event?
  10. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 242 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2001 WL GO AHD AND ISSUE WSW FOR ENTIRE FA FOR 3D PD. AVN/ECMWF CONSISTANT AND SHOWG MAJOR LO PRES EFFECTG FA SUN AFTN THRU AT LEAST TUE MRNG. THINKG IN XS OF A FT OF SNW...ALNG WITH 25 TO 30 MPH WNDS...IE NR BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS...SUN NGT THRU TUE MRNG. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE THE STRNGST STM SINCE THE JAN 96 BLIZZARD. THE ETA AND NGM HAVE COME OVR TO THE AVN/ECMWF SOLN AS WELL AS THE NOGAPS. THE CANADIAN AND UKMET STILL SHOWG A MORE PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. BUT IF THE SYSTEM GOES VERTICAL...AS IT SEEMS IT WL NOW...IT WL STALL BTWN DELMARVA AND CAPE COD...AND CUD HAMMER US THRU TUE MRNG. AM CONFIDENT ENUF THAT WE WILL GET SOMETHING THUS WL GO AHD AND PULL THE TRIGGR ON THE WSW. ON THE MARINE...THINKG WE CUD GET CSTL FLOODG PROBLMS AT TIMES OF HI TIDE...BEGNG SUN NGT. THATS STILL 4TH PD...AND WL NOT ISSUE A CSTL FLD WATCH ATTM. BUT ONE WL PROBLY BE ISSUED THIS AFTNS PCKG. WRKZFP IN AWIPS BY 3.5 AM. ZNS WIBIS BTW 4 AND 4.5 AM. ON THE MARINE...WL CONTINUE MENTION OF GLS SUN NGT ON. PROBLY BE UP TO SCA SUN AFTN. .OKX...WINTER STORM WATCH CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081 FROM 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY.
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