Rjay

You're good to go

Without this nao block the trough in the west would be a nightmare.

You're right. It looks more exciting tbh. Doesn't mean anything will actually happen though.

Yes definitely.

That look is a lot better than you're giving it credit for.

I'd take this look on the EPS, GEFS and GEPS

Above average is above average. Doesn't need to be 50. But it's not like I don't get your point. +4 in Barrow, Alaska is frigid this time of year and around here +4 in Janaury doesn't necessarily mean "mild".

My January +3.5 call might bust too low.

If that's not mild Idk what is.

That's not really true. The playing field is a mess. Even if there is a phase for that 12th(ish) threat, any s/w that comes flying down could easily deamplify things and ruin the party.

I heard there's a 90 minute delay over there.

It would take some luck. S/w traffic jam at 500mb.

He's not correct though. Plenty of storminess on all the ensembles. I'm not a big fan of anything until after mid month but the 12th(ish) could work out. Literally no one. But that pattern is coming. That doesn't mean it will produce though.

Anyone that doesn't want to track this, feel free not to. TIA.

If that pattern is real we're gonna be tossing weenies left and right

What a mess lol

I'll never forget what the Eagles did tonight. The Giants suck and don't deserve anything but that was beyond words.

Mod to heavy drizzle

I hate this storm but who knows. Maybe it could work out.

Yea. Things changed. People were not expecting this upcoming pattern when they made their seasonal forecasts.

Pretty sure most went below average. I would have too if I made forecasts.

If the northern stream phases in it's game on. If it doesn't, it ends up being a negative effect on our bowling ball. Also have to watch the lobe swinging through se canada into northern New England. If it swings around at the wrong time the storm won't be able to climb the coast. *** a little disclaimer. I'm not even sure if any of these canadian vorts are real at this point so its best to just keep an eye on things and look for any big changes coming out of Canada. And the disclaimer isn't for you Walt, it's for the weenies like me.

Maybe a flake or 2

January looks warm yet snowy

Awesome Don