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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Icon and GGEM both took a good step. Hard to imagine we get snow from the coastal, but I’m hoping we can get some snow from the primary before it loses its punch. Need some more south trends, but 12z moving that way.
  2. WxUSAF
    If the storm yesterday was 12 hours faster, most of the area gets 1-3/2-4”.
  3. WxUSAF
    Cold and dry-ish Niña periods are pretty normal historically. But yes, since BN periods are getting less frequent, it does hurt to let one go by without measurable snow to show for it. Even if it is December when we struggle to get much normally.
  4. WxUSAF
    I’m not greedy. Just want some festive snow on my Xmas lights. We’re going to have a BN December. That alone seems amazing. Would be nice to have more than a T of snow out of it.
  5. WxUSAF
    Friday snow chances are not dead btw. 6z EPS is a pretty decent look for D4-5 with an earlier transfer off hatteras. Euro AI also a better 6z run.
  6. WxUSAF
    Fog is really thickening up in Greenbelt. I’d say vis is 1/2mi at most.
  7. WxUSAF
    And it’s crazy that he’s got MVP competition
  8. WxUSAF
    Big cold high for CAD with WAA precip is definitely a positive bust potential setup
  9. WxUSAF
    Light rain and 38. Guess there’s a chance I get a brief flip with heavier returns but not holding my breath.
  10. WxUSAF
    Sleet and some snow grains in Columbia. Winter 24-25 won’t quit!
  11. WxUSAF
    No. The 25th time period was there for awhile with a second PNA spike. Just never shown much storm wise
  12. WxUSAF
    Don’t hate the setup on the GGEM leading into Xmas…
  13. WxUSAF
    Dr No’s music getting queued up
  14. WxUSAF
    Yeah gfs and GGEM both closer to something workable
  15. WxUSAF
    Can all the “drones” help us get snow!?!?!?? Maybe blow more cold air southwards???
  16. WxUSAF
    If you or anyone else want a thread for this, I’d say go for it. Only 48 hours out.
  17. WxUSAF
    Happy hour is fun but that has “last 48 hour heartbreak” written all over it. Would be nice if we could get a solution like the 12z euro from yesterday. Simple easy 3-6”. eta…gfs kinda leaves some energy along the front late Thursday and flips us to white rain. If that front wave can amp up more and also get more trailing energy, that could turn into something.
  18. WxUSAF
    Verbatim euro has a dusting to I95 Sunday evening. 1”+ for Frederick-Loudon and points west.
  19. WxUSAF
    That west coast shortwave explains most of the difference between the gfs and GGEM.
  20. WxUSAF
    That’s a wild goofy solution.
  21. WxUSAF
    Think I had 3 full days of school in January 94. My kids would approve.
  22. WxUSAF
    BamWx referencing 93-94 as an analog for late month and January now. We need an Elmo face planting into “sugar” reaction…
  23. WxUSAF
    Not true! I vividly remember driving to work during the November storm in 2018. I think forecast low for dc was like right at freezing. When the weather report on the radio said it was 28 or 29 at DCA I nearly drove off the road.
  24. WxUSAF
    Got down to 23 overnight. A bit colder than expected.
  25. WxUSAF
    So far this month, it’s the torch that’s been getting cankicked. Guidance has repeatedly been adjusting colder at shorter lead times for the eastern conus with more -EPO and less of that rollover ridge.
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