Verbatim, HH GFS has MBY below freezing from Friday evening through the end of the run. 10 days plus. I’ll take the under, but could be an impressive cold stretch.
Yup. Need a bit more breathing room but if you flip through the last 5-8 GFS runs, you can see very clearly that the Jan 6th Storm sets the boundary (train tracks per @Bob Chill) for the 8th. That’s why this run is closer to a 2-fer than 12z. But I’m good with 6-8” with some frigid cold.
That’s the snowiest in several years I believe. Doubly impressive when it’s all after about D6-7. Mean for the 8-10th window is almost 3” alone. @Weather Will’s 1” odds will show 80-90%+.
As (some of us) we know, a big event takes some luck even with a great longwave pattern. But odds for something continue to increase. For an epic month, some small events and a big dog are a typical combo.