WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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I’ll take that. Next week could be a lot of fun between storm tracking and preparing for the AFC championship game. I hope Eps throws us a bone toward what the GEFS was suggesting for the high latitudes. Either way, I’m getting more encouraged about where we’re headed for the last week of January and hopefully beyond.
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GEFS is active AF from the 17th until the end of the run. I bet most of the precip is rain, but seeing pressing arctic air from the north with a firehouse of moisture coming in from the southern plains probably will make EJ tingly.
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Sometimes it pastes as “rich text”. You don’t want that. Arctic air is a crazy thing
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Just paste the link to the tweet
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@psuhoffman I think your map ended up verifying well.
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I think the MJO gets to phase 8. I think question is whether it gets to phase 1. Long range MJO plots like Roundy’s show it getting into 8 with subsidence over the maritime continent. As far as sensible weather, getting major ice/mix storm vibes from the period after the 17th. Lots of cold arctic air to the north but with SE ridge tendencies.
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Snowing here in greenbelt.
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Well if the Carolinas can score...then I'll take that chance for us Same. If the long range longwave pattern is correct, doesn’t look like suppression is a risk.
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Yes very possible.
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Squall is perfectly splitting between work and home. Grumble grumble grumble
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Neat trivia from Webb. Wonder how that stacks up for us. I think this MJO forecast makes much more sense than those that kill it off in Phase 6.
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2” IAD 1.5” BWI T DCA
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BWI had 0.42” of liquid. So yes, enough for 5” of snow
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Backside deathband was nice
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My yard backs to 108 and that jives perfectly with my 2.3”
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2.3” final total. Nice little event. Let’s do another 10 of these.
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+SN, fat dendrites
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Just finished a nice Jebwalk. Sideroads mostly covered. Pretty evening.
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1.4". Think I've got a good chance at 2" with the healthy backside lovin'.
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Radar suggests a good last hurrah for the next 1-2 hours here.
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Just noticed BWI reported +SN at 4pm.
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1" on the snowboard
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GFS op wanted nothing to do with the GEFS in early-mid December when it was trying to advertise Strat PV disruption. Interesting that it's now hinting at a Strat PV split later this month.
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NAM LET'S GOOOOOOOO U-S-A! U-S-A!
