WxUSAF
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I wouldn’t take these maps too literally. I think mets would be better served with text ranges because it’s clear they don’t (and probably shouldn’t) take too much effort to place contours. They are mostly trying to say “more N and W and less S and E” which is a obvious thing in our area.
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jason dirty talking on a Tuesday morning.
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Judah’s on the early winter strat PV disruption train. Which is not that surprising I guess. And speaking of Judah, there’s a new review paper online about snowcover and link to winter patterns. Its in Nature. Haven’t finished reading it yet. Check @wxjay on twitter for the link but it’s paywalled.
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FWIW, Mitch is very bullish on this winter per his posts on phillywx. Expects 30-40” at his house near BWI.
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The afternoon turned what was potentially a heart crushing bust into a “oh well, just some bad luck”.
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@osfan24 yes, that’s my perception from Columbia. Woke up and had thunder sleet around 7am with 12-13” OTG. Precip from then through early afternoon was tepid at best while @Bob Chill and the VA crew were getting blasted. Then the afternoon was a legit blizzard for 3-4 hours.
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Woo 47 instead of 50. #fakesnowtrain
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I’m encouraged by seeing an active STJ and storms as we move into November. We’d expect that with a nino and looks like that part is occurring at least.
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Tony Pann AGAIN tweeted chance of rain snow mix early Monday around Baltimore. Someone sarcastic tweet a response to him.
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We’d be jumping if this was a winter storm. Secondary low looks to stay alive now up towards Pittsburgh instead of merging entirely with the coastal.
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Two months and 20F colder from now and today would be super exciting. High cirrus thickening up, light wind, and a big old storm brewing.
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Tony Pann tweeting chance for rain snow mix in the Baltimore metro late Sunday into Monday. GFS and FV3 GFS have surface temps near 50 and 850 0 line a few hundred miles away. GGEM is upper 40s and similar 850s. what the f-ck is he talking about!?
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Registered for the skywarn basic class!
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Fall color seems to have taken a noticeable step in the last few days. Not moderate color yet, but I think we’ve certainly left “spotty” color behind.
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Violently agree. Baroclinic boundary is more onshore this time of year as well which guides this storm inland vs a winter case where they typically stay offshore.
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Good lawd give me the 6z GFS 78-108hr progression in 2-3 months time please. Textbook.
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BWI hit 32 on the intrahour. RIC fell short.
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It’s weird. He used to be a super pessimist on snow. Downplayed several of our historic storms at short leads as I recall.
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I have no idea what’s the best conditions.
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Up near Bahstan (Jesus save me from Sawx fans) for a funeral today. Frost everywhere. Much more fall color than Home, but doesn’t look like peak at all. Pretty late and lousy year for color everywhere it seems.
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Tony Pann was teasing this on Twitter. Plenty cold aloft. If there’s a convective shower, could have some flakes mixed in.
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Low of 39 at BWI.
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Ian isn’t totally gone, just posts much, much less.
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We’ve had good posters leave for over moderation (Ian) and under moderation (Mitch).
