WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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HoCo schools closed Kids dancing Wife facepalming
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Good catch
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53/43 now IMBY. Only 21F to go!!
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Dew points starting to tank.
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It can create confluence, so in a general sense, yes it can. We'll see if it does this time.
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The 500mb and surface track didn't really change on the GFS. Maybe a slight north wobble at certain panels? But the cold/dry air push on the northern edge is stronger. That tightens the precip gradient, hence the reduction north of DC and same (or better) south of DC.
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If you want to sweat the cold FROPA, the SPC mesoanalysis is good to follow: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# Can choose either "Surface" or "Winter Weather" and see where the isotherms are packed to tell where the front is located. Based on the wind shift, it's getting close to the metros in MD/DC and a bit farther north in VA.
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60/56 at DCA with 1005.5mb SLP at 2pm. Feels like snow.
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DCA streak of days above 22F looks to be in jeopardy!
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Someone make an obs/nowcast thread. Need to track DCA temps and Pittsburgh pressure.
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Dear God man, what’s Pittsburgh’s barometric pressure!?!?!!!!????
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Let’s just say I’m going to be asleep and not reading the meltdowns in the obs thread when it’s 53F at DCA at midnight
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Euro laughs at the NAMs and ICON. DC purple’d
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Haven’t looked myself that it allegedly inched north relative to its 0z but it ain’t no GFS
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Tommy T ain’t having it (much like a covid vaccine)
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Cooper Kupp O/U yards receiving today against the ravens? 120? 150? 170??
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Which is why expectations should be kept in check.
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@CAPEliking a blend of the 12z GFS and 6z Euro for his yard. 15-20” seems reasonable
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This storm seems primed to bring the HoCo-MoCo deathband out of retirement.
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We could just lock all the threads until 6am tomorrow?
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Mrs. WxUSAF got us a La Crosse model. Posted a pic in December Banter a few days ago. I wanted a Davis VP2, but hard to justify $700.
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Well, more than that because your high today will probably be 63F
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@mappyis politely humble and then will double DCA’s total lol
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I tend to agree, but take a look at the cross section plot in my post from an hour ago. Clearly shows 2 areas with max omega in the DGZ. One north of DC in the colder air, one south with the frontogen max.
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I bet the mean/consensus of today's 12z runs will be about where it ends up. The storm is forming now and the models are "seeing" the diabetic energy release.
