WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Think maybe @MN Transplant?
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Just under 30F at home. 74F here in Key West.
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Nice post which again highlights how we need a NAO ridge to couple with the ENSO favored -WPO for us to have a chance this winter. But if we can get that, we should have some chances for cold and snow. Without it, SE ridge goes on roids.
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Bafflingly zero adjustment. Dolphins were blitzing all the time, everyone knew it, and they still were effective.
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You or the cicadas?
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Thanksgiving morning and Black Friday both in the 20s and maybe scattered flurries??!? Sign me up 12z GFS!!
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For DCA it was apparently the coldest first week of November since 2002. But still no freeze.
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CWG outlook out. Not as pessimistic as I think it could be. I’d take it for sure.
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Nice summary @psuhoffmanand your point about the NAO dovetails nicely with what I just said in the other thread. -WPO is typical for -PDO and that’s bad news for us unless we get NAO help. We want the PAC ridge axis farther east to be ideal for us.
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As @CAPEs map above shows well, a -WPO only really works for us if we also have a -NAO. It can get western Canada nice and cold, but it teleconnects to a -PNA and ridging over us usually. Hence storm track to our west. We want that ridge over AK and the Yukon to be in a good spot for us.
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If it was 3 weeks later I’d be intrigued and cautiously optimistic about the pattern starting Saturday-Sunday and going through at least next week. But mid-November?? Meh. Congrats Deep Creek.
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DeShon Elliot out for the year
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Thankfully no style points in the NFL and they *should* win the next two before a tough 7 game end of season gauntlet awaits.
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Their defense *should* be a lot better but they’re getting smoked on the regular. O line is terrible but I sort of expect that will mostly backups.
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At least we have Tucker I need a drink
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OMG f-cking penalties
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God the Ravens are a mess
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Or not
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Defense finally showed some backbone in the second quarter, but I can’t recall seeing a ravens offense so clueless coming off a bye.
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Make that the defense
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Ravens O-line is a glorified speed bump
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Weather this week has been hard to top for November IMO. Full sun with temps in the 50s and lows in the 30s. Great football weather today and tomorrow.
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ALEET ALEET Blue precip pixels on the 12z GFS
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@nw baltimore wx hit BWI exactly. @BristowWx, @RIC Airport, and @yoda missed BWI by 1. @nw baltimore wx and @RIC Airport clearly in the lead now. Both are going to miss RIC (11/4 and 11/6, respectively), but they have a wide gap on DCA (11/30 and 11/15). I think @mappy, @yoda, and @tplbge also have a shot depending on when RIC and DCA hit.
