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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    The northern stream wave that the GFS phases into the monster just scoots through the Lakes quickly on the GGEM. But then this beastly closed 500mb low appears out of nowhere and partially phases. Both look like very simple and clean solutions, so obviously a lot of model consistency coming up!
  2. WxUSAF
    Oh man, GGEM does it too. SE weenies climaxing.
  3. WxUSAF
    GGEM and GFS both working slowly in the right direction for Tuesday next week with more spacing between the northern and southern waves. Need that to continue so the northern stream can drag the cold air in enough. GGEM today is very close to that and has a strong enough southern wave to flip us to 1-3" of snow after some rain by dragging in some colder air.
  4. WxUSAF
    Just your standard mid-latitude cyclone with a cold conveyor belt extending down to the Bahamas.
  5. WxUSAF
    At hour 150 I hit the “Prev. Run” and “Next Run” buttons on TT like 6 times because I thought I was looking at the wrong thing. To be generous, 6z looks like it got bad chili. 12z isn’t THAT different from earlier runs at that point.
  6. WxUSAF
    Thanks for the feedback!
  7. WxUSAF
    Updated thread title because I’m still planning for 10” more of January snow
  8. WxUSAF
    Wow...I actually think I had this happen today. Heard a small boom from just outside the back of my house.
  9. WxUSAF
    14.7 is the morning low IMBY
  10. WxUSAF
    Snowshoe people @Potvinsux @jonjon and others: is April a bad time to visit? Looking for a small spring break trip somewhere with the family. Guessing it might be a lot of 40-50F clouds and wind?
  11. WxUSAF
    ^precip pattern looks Miller B-ish?
  12. WxUSAF
    @CAPE may like the 18z RGEM
  13. WxUSAF
    Ridge axis over Boise is classic. But that +AO and +NAO should temper everyone’s hope for a KU.
  14. WxUSAF
    No deal!
  15. WxUSAF
    Next Tuesday-Wednesday and then next weekend have been threat “windows” on the ensembles for several days already with transient Op run hits and teases. This is obviously a fun solution that will be gone in 6 hours, but its still a time period to watch. We should have a good idea in a week lol.
  16. WxUSAF
    @psuhoffman Storm about to rock and roll on the GFS
  17. WxUSAF
    Major Jan 3 vibes from how the Icon develops next weeks chance. Northern stream gets out of the way, brings cold air, and let’s the southern stream ride over us.
  18. WxUSAF
    Mixing in Greenbelt starting
  19. WxUSAF
    @Herb@MAWS and @Scraff, I’m at work so let me know if we can slant stick a pity 0.1-0.3”. My PWS is down to 35.0F
  20. WxUSAF
    Snow mixing in Columbia per my daughter
  21. WxUSAF
    Temp finally turned over at home as I was driving to work and dropping steadily now. But probably too little too late.
  22. WxUSAF
    Lol my temp refuses to budge
  23. WxUSAF
    How’s next week looking???
  24. WxUSAF
    Correct
  25. WxUSAF
    My temperature has been rising the last 30 minutes. Is that a good sign for the changeover??
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