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Mitchel Volk

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Mitchel Volk

  1. This winter reminds of of 1973. Cold then rrain tnen cold then rain. That winter NYC only has an inch.
  2. Looks like a snow sounding, I guess it is wrong, with surface wet bulb temps supporting snow there must be a decent warm layor out there. Just look at the correlation coefficent in Radar Scope and you see the rain snow line about 40 miles north of th city.
  3. This reminds of the winter of 1973. However, this is about to change. Still, light sleet at beaver street, about 2" at Battery Park.
  4. same at Beaver very small snow flakes and sleet
  5. Moderate rain in Cobble looks like it is snowing above 500 feet
  6. I saw that the verification score is for the whole world. I believe for our neck of the woods in winter the models is not ready yet. I hope they can improve this before it goes operational.
  7. I have been comparing the two models and my current assessment is the GFS has been a lot more consistent than the FV3 Model. The FV3 seems to be too strong on many runs for east coast storms. Just look at the upcoming storm for the 19-20th. At one point NYC was going to get37" of snow and the latest 6Z run has mainly rain. I love to see what other people think about this.
  8. not at 850mb leve it was -.05 throw out there temp forecast and use your knowedge. Models must be adjusted
  9. GFS had snow, if you adjusted there surface temps as they have a warm bias. The 850MB temps showed it.
  10. Snow fall rate pick up rapidly here at Beaver St Lower Manhattan
  11. First flake here at Beaver St lower Manhattan
  12. Thanks for the positive responce

    Mitch

  13. Love your new weather board, but I have one suggestion which is increase the font size a little. Again thanks for your hard work

  14. Where did you get the ECMWF maps from? thanks

  15. Loves blizzards w/thunder and the forecasting of them

  16. I always had an intense interest in weather. When I was a kid the Lindsey Blizzard of 2/9/69 really peak my interest. I got my BS from Lyndon and my MS from Univ of WI-Madison. I currently work for NYC Sanitation as a Deputy Director and Meteorologist

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