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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. Quite a different set up this time vs then. That was a marginal event for the area with highs the day before in the 50s. The areas that got snow got it fast and it melted 48 hours later. Highs will be in the 30s the day before this system arrives with lows well into the 20s. This is a rare even where a system ushers in Arctic air and it's fresh for another system on its heels. If any areas see rain it would be in unfavorable downslope areas or a very deep system that has an epic warm nose, and even then you're probably looking at freezing rain.
  2. The entire run of the Canadian today. Uploading it because we probably won't see many like it. If you actually mouse over Knox County on Pivatol you'll see 23 inches.
  3. I hope this is a day time event for at least some of it. Last year I blanked nearly but managed a lot of snow the prior two years but they were virtually all at night and quick hitters. Even getting 11 inches in March 22, most of it fell before 8am.
  4. The NAM was likely heading this way still, it was just slow rolling and the snow had only arrived in the East as the run ended.
  5. Still snowing East of the Plateau at this point. Some sleet down towards Chattanooga.
  6. RGEM looks like it's gonna be another big run. It's locked and loaded back towards Memphis and it should head across the entire area almost.
  7. RGEM and ICON are less amped and letting the snow spread eastward faster than the NAM.
  8. The NAM didn't agree with itself that run, the 32k/12k/3k are all different with their precip orientation/location.
  9. The track on the NAM is actually great and it makes no sense that East Tennessee is in such an epic dry slot.
  10. The NAM went full UKIE that run and blanked the East. Angle of precip is very steep and it just sits over the mid-state and western areas.
  11. The Euro Ens were just a slightly lighter mirror image of the OP. So it seems it has good agreement with its ensembles.
  12. Actually that map was today before the 12z suite went full Snowmeiser.
  13. Looks like OHX put out a map that halves the totals shown on the NBM. Generally they have around 2 inches for the mid-state.
  14. The euro is also on board with the second system. It's pasting the Eastern areas at 168.
  15. I have no idea if this trend will hold steady, but normally when you start seeing very defined edges to the snow shield on modeling, they are zeroing on on the basic evolution if not the exact placement. Today at 12z it's been very defined edges to the snow shield across modeling. If this is still looking this way by tomorrow evening we should see our first Winter Storm Watches of the season.
  16. Strengthening low near the Outer Banks that isn't producing any precip on it's west/nw side for some reason by 102. I
  17. The Euro has a low just south of Mobile at 96 but it's only producing precip right on the gulf coast.
  18. This run is going to be pretty similar to the other runs today at 12z. Euro caved to everyone else.
  19. Snow over spreading the entire forum region by 78 but still flatter than other guidance at 12z.
  20. Pressures are falling in the Western Gulf on the Euro, but a bit further south than other models.
  21. The Euro may not be much better but it's showing more signs of life than 00z.
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