John1122

Any met who mentions sun angle in early February regarding snow potential needs to reexamine climatology for February regarding snowfall in East Tennessee.

Todays 18z NAM as the precip moves out overnight Sunday. . 2 Yesterdays for the same 24 hour period. The globals have been catching back onto these events later than the meso models and have had struggles with how far west/northwest the snowfall zones are. Middle and West Tennessee did much better yesterday than the globals suggested. The event in upstate SC/Western NC last week was almost happening before the Euro caught up. I think it was 12z the morning of the event before the Euro had the precip far enough NW for it to fall as frozen.

Just in the past 24 hours the NAM has expanded the precip shield NW and made it heavier. Yesterday at 18z the 24 hour snowfall was 50 percent of what it is now with virtually nothing reaching East Tennessee. 18z unfolding now has 1-3 from the Plateau eastward.

Very heavy snow shower rolling through. Visibility down to about 1/2 mile or less.

Ended up with 2 inches on decks and car tops and about 1.25 on the ground. Looks awesome in the trees.

Still coming in moderate bursts. 3/4ths inch probably.

The temp fell from 34 to 30 after that band passed over. Moderate snow with much smaller flakes out there now.

Hard as all get out to see, but huge flakes falling and everything is covered. Don't think there's enough upstream to get me over an inch but will hold hope.

Having a burst of snow right now but overall the precip has been ragged on this side of the system. Looks like 75 at elevation is slowed down some, could be sticking around 2000 feet on the road but I'd suspect it's more likely just lowered visibility in the heavier snow.

Snow is picking up now. Temp is holding steady in the mid 30s.

Snow falling again. Nothing heavy though. 35 still. Deeper cold in middle Tennessee with this one.

Precip got heavier and switched to rain. Guess it'll be a while before it gets back to snow. Worry I may be too far East but we'll see.

Rain/Snow mix starting up. Not very heavy.

MRX added my area to the WWA. Says 1-3 inches. Hopefully that's not the kiss of death.

I hope so. I'm 36 right now. See some 34s on the western Plateau but green on the radar there.

What is your temp?

Did you have any rain or did it just start as snow?

38 degrees. The slow fall always kills me. Seems like it takes forever.

I'm down to 43 now. I'd expect it to be around midnight before any potential snow moves in, maybe later.

MRX finally updated. No advisories outside the Mountains above 2500ft and SW VA. Kinda feel good about that. 90 percent of my snow falls at times when they absolutely blow the forecast by not issuing winter products here.

20z RAP showing a decent event for the Plateau and just east of there/Middle Tn and a nice dollop in the area from Memphis to just East of there.

My forecast currently is for rain changing to sleet tonignt. Not sure that I've seen anything about sleet from any model but we will see.

The RAP is showing up with 1-1.5 inches over most of middle Tennessee. 2-3 inches over the Northern half of the Plateau into SE Ky.

Jackson, Louisville and Nashville all hoisted winter weather advisories. Not seen one from MRX but they are usually very reluctant to do so outside the mountains, so who knows if they will or not.

This winter, flakes in the air are a win. I would be really happy with an inch.