John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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It's a worst of both worlds situation re models. The Euro was right with low QPF for me but the hi-res/NAM nest was right about the warm nose for the folks to the south and the NAM was right about the epic dry slot. The Euro kept everything cold. All in all, it's snow map will end up pretty close most likely. Fortunately the Euro's correct call about snow totals really boosted our western and southern valley folks.
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You're likely to get some freezing rain then it will turn back to snow.
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Looks like maybe some banding working along the Plateau now.
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Steady quarters and nickels falling here. No mixing issues but not terribly heavy rates, about 1/2 inch an hour probably.
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It's all snow for now. Tiny dime sized flakes but a lot of them. My temperature actually went down some. I had made it to 27 but it's back to 26 now.
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Not always! I will say that it's snowed more this week from random NW energy bits than it has from this system so far.
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Looks like the precip is maybe pivoting in a way that the mid-valley dry slot won't quite get here. I've already had two today, I can live without round 3.
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Chattanooga area to Knoxville was the place to be for this one in the east. The heavy precip oriented perfectly and you avoided the big dry slot that rolled up out of Alabama along the Plateau above Crossville.
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I will also give credit to that wonky NAM run a few days ago that dry-slotted me. Kudos NAM.
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It looks like the dry slot that was headed my way is filling in now.
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That would be me, if it verifies, but I'm going to guess it will not.
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Looks like the dry Euro runs are going to verify here. Ironically it got onboard with 4+ inches here at the last minute. I'll be shocked if I get over 2. The American models, barring a huge surprise, are going to be miserable failures.
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I knew the bust was coming, my WSW just changed to 1-4 inches and yet another dry slot is developing to my SW.
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Finally back to quarter sized flakes here.
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It's rare to see it snowing in literally every direction from me. It looks like some development down towards Holston may start to fill in my area soon.
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I'm in a strange dry slot as well and I'm going to count myself lucky if I get to half what's forecast. Never seen it before with a slider.
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Feels like I'm maybe going to bust really low here, that snowhole is lined up sw of me and just keeps refusing to fill. Good luck to the others of you getting nailed, hopefully there's no mixing issues!
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The snowhole was strange because it stayed thickly cloudy and still snowed moderately with 1/2 mile vis, but the flakes as noted by Holston, Shocker and Shawn, were just very tiny.
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@Holston_River_Rambler are you in the snow hole that has developed?
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I didn't really even have a flurry period, it was not snowing one minute and 3 minutes later vis was around 1/2 mile.
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Nickels and dimes.
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Moderate snow here, 25 degrees.
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Conditional symmetrical instability. They are large bands that produce heavy streaks of snow.
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I've been waiting on your obs. Now the countdown begins for me.
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It's so odd in these situations. All week if a mouse farted it started snowing. Now we have to watch virga for several hours from a juicy gulf system.
