John1122
-
Posts
11,319 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by John1122
-
That GFS run would break snowfall records in every southern state except Tennessee.
-
Crazy sleet totals on the Canadian that run. I would love to see the sleet accumulation maps over the region.
-
The Canadian has slightly better thermals but still major ice issues along and south of 40.
-
Of course it's also having issues being released. But literally just day after day of snow across Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina.
-
Please let the GFS be its normal garbage self here. I can't take watching the deep south get 2 feet while we get 6-8 inches.
-
It's going to end up decent for most, but nothing in the ball pack of what the potential is for this event.
-
Unfortunately, if true, snow won't be either for a good portion of the board.
-
Yep, complete disaster run there if true.
-
This GFS run is likely going to be way different than the last two.
-
GFS is leaning back into its south look from yesterday.
-
Well as soon as I posted that, the next two frames came and it essentially caught up with the 06, and is a little big larger with the snow shield on the north side.
-
The GFS looks slower with the precip at 12z as well.
-
The ICON was also much slower with the arrival of precip than other 6z modeling.
-
The ICON went Canadian on us. Major ice issues up to 40 and just north of it.
-
After watching Florida get nearly a foot last year when the prior state record was 3 inches, truly anything is possible. Maybe it's our turn finally for a crazy snow record.
-
I feel like this is a trap. I'm having 2017 ptsd from when the Euro showed 30 inches imby 48 hours out, and I ended up with two inches.
- 679 replies
-
- 12
-
-
-
-
The EPS is loaded for the forum as well with a mean of 5 to 9 inches across the forum. Due to the nature of ensembles, they will usually be lighter and lower qpf than op models, as invariably some ensembles will be light or even blanks.
-
Behind the system at 12z vs 0z.
-
Not sure what happens that Euro run. It handles the cold bizarrely. At 12z the temperatures after the system passed were in the low 10s or colder Monday morning. Now they are in the lower 30s across eastern Tennessee. It's strange.
-
Basically along 40 and south has about .5 to .7 freezing rain on top of that 6 to 7 inches of snow.
-
Euro warm noses all the way to just north of 40 this run. Lots of ice just below the pink areas.
-
Euro is going to be a monster again. 1.25 to 2 inches of QPF from Southern Kentucky to the Northern Alabama/Georgia area.
-
Euro has a 1054 hp.
-
I think the Canadian is off it's rocker. It's amped up and throwing out 4+ inches of frozen QPF in spots. It gives me 2.5 inches of QPF as sleet. That would be 7.5 inches of sleet. Then it caps it off with an inch of freezing rain.
-
All in all. The Canadian is similar to it's 12z run. 1-2+ inches of ZR over a lot of the area, heavy sleet over areas just NW of that zr, and Kentucky wins the snow awards.
