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Everything posted by John1122
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ratios are really getting up there now. I'd guess 17:1 or maybe 20:1 I've had just over .25 liquid equivalent so far. Most modeling had me maxing out around that amount. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's still rolling here. This is a shock to me. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
All modeling still shows 4-8 inches in the WSW area. Most show me getting 2-3 more inches, it not sure if things pulled back east a little on them or it just that part of the snow they were giving me has already fallen. Of the models that have ran at 0z, the fv3, which had been giving me the least, gives me 5 more inches, which is the most of the 0z modeling so far. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The HRRR really gets rolling in the valley in a few hours and looks heavier down 81, and 75 through Knoxville and south by 2, 3, 4am etc. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
9pm status -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This was always going to be a slow burn for everyone. It's snowed for almost 6 hours here to get 2.5 inches and I'm over performing what I expected. It's going to be a duration event more than a huge burst event. Further east may get the burst. But for most it's more that it's going to be really cold and average probably 1/4th to 1/2 inch an hour for 10 to 16 more hours. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Mine were just tiny tiny flakes for an hour or two but they went up to nickels, then quarters and have been a mix since. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
They could try that but the text said half! I think it even said less than a half inch. 911 scanner here is already starting with the donuts on the highway calls. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I guess it's NW flow with the Arctic air but it's still rolling quarters and nickels here. Down to 21.6 degrees. It's extremely fluffy, a normal snowball sized handful gets you about a ping pong ball sized one. I've somewhat overperformed the half inch forecast now.- 584 replies
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Thank you. The general radar sites look wonky.
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Can anyone tell which way the snow is actually moving? I don't have radar scope. But it looks like it's moving SW to NE then NW to SE over my area. Strange looking. According to the HRRR it should start moving NE to SW by 9 or 10.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Always try to add these for time/temp stamp when going back later to look at these. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Heaviest snow of the day so far right now. Quarters rolling down with probably just under 1/2 mile vis. So between moderate and heavy snow. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I convert them to gifs and do it. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Steady nickels falling. Close to an inch down now. 24 degrees. -
The 18z Euro maintained its 4+ Plateau east, with 2.5 in Chattanooga.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Per the HRRR it shouldn't even be snowing now. But around 9pm it shows snow backing from SW Va across east Tennessee and it is at its heaviest and most widespread from probably 3am to 9 or 10am. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My 1/2 inch forecast has gone bust for MRX. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
In town where there was no snow earlier. Everything is covered and it's ripping. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Flake size here has went from about the diameter of a pencil eraser, to about the size of dimes and nickels now. Temp is now down to 27. -
20z RAP looks like the RGEM.
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RGEM remains rock steady with 4+ inches from the Plateau eastward, and 2+ for Chattanooga. Big run of the ICON and it's fallen close to in line with other models after being far east all day yesterday and the day before.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thanks, I was curious about how heavy it might be, it looks impressive on radar. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Anyone in the mid-state seeing anything from that band?
