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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    SE shift by the Euro AI, I expect the Euro will follow. Hopefully it can work back this way but not holding my breath.
  2. John1122
    It's frigid, holding at 13 degrees with light snow.
  3. John1122
    That was about a 300 mile NW shift by the Canadian.
  4. John1122
    If this one doesn't trend NW, but not too far, it will truly be another epic failure. I saw a discussion about the NW trend being because models mistake something from range, I think it was something to do with sea temperatures maybe, that causes them to almost universally place systems too far SE. Which is why we see the NW trend constantlly.
  5. John1122
    There's a band actually showing up on radar that has been rolling over me for the last half hour. Sky is full of nickels, it looks foggy out.
  6. John1122
    ICON was decent for the East, 40 north, and still snowing at the end. It was possibly going where the other Models went at 0z. Everything is shifting NW but most of us may be too far west.
  7. John1122
    Nickels and quarters still flying. I've picked up a fluffy 3/4ths inch. Temp is 15. Its so dry a mouse fart will melt it tomorrow.
  8. John1122
    The Euro obliterates far eastern areas and SWVa, those of us on the 75 corridor don't fare very well.
  9. John1122
  10. John1122
    Pretty moderate dimes and nickels falling currently. 18 degrees.
  11. John1122
    Light snow and 20 degrees here. No real sign of anything on radar.
  12. John1122
    Obviously can't trust the Euro at all, but what a crazy cold snow event. Alaska ratios.
  13. John1122
    I'm honestly not sure. I was also driving north at the time. The atmosphere was apparently slightly different on/above the mountain than it was a few miles south in town. That different allowed ice nuclei to form.
  14. John1122
    Spent a couple hours at a friend's house this evening. Heavy freezing mist to light freezing rain across town. Coming home, as soon as I gained about 300 feet in elevation over town it switched to snow. Tiny flakes but thick.
  15. John1122
    Snowing here now. 29 degrees.
  16. John1122
    Best hope, Google's AI model gives us a little hope, and it's been the best model this winter.
  17. John1122
    Current QPF for mby after this system through 360. Euro .23 over 14 days. GFS .20 GFSAI .3 Euro AI .20 EPS AI .63 EPS .38 GEFS .70 Canadian Ens .70 We are 1 to 1.5 inches BN across all modeling for the period. Hopefully something changes but it's went from wild snow totals to grim drought conditions. We just have to hope the drought solution is incorrect but sadly, we've experienced cold/dry once already this winter.
  18. John1122
    Power finally returned. It went off around 3am.
  19. John1122
    There wasn't nearly as much sleet as most models predicted, which is why I've gotten so much freezing rain. Especially crazy sleet totals the Canadian with some of its wonky runs. It got the idea of the mix storm first, but had too much sleet. But it often overdoes cold, so I assume that happened here.
  20. John1122
    I just measured on a metal fence and a tree branch. I've got .31 ice accrual. Light freezing rain and up to 29 now.
  21. John1122
    My warmest temperature for the after tomorrow on my 2 week forecast from TWC is 38/22 on February 7th. During that entire two weeks, it has zero precipitation. It's almost comical at that point.
  22. John1122
    The horseshoe effect that shows up in East Tennessee at times, is also reflected by an even larger horseshoe at times like this. It's going to be much colder to our southwest, west, southeast and east by tomorrow morning. It's crazy how often systems cut in our area vs up the other side of the mountains. I'd guess for every system that goes from Tallahassee to Raleigh, 25 cut through some part of Tennessee.
  23. John1122
    I hear chainsaws running up the road from me. Fortunately still have power.
  24. John1122
    I was warming up but now it's stopped again.
  25. John1122
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