John1122

The dew point is ridiculous at 75 right now, and I'm already up to 89. 89 was my high yesterday.

82-83 was a very strong Nino year, one of the 3 strongest. We had a big snow in December, two decent ones in January and another in February. Temps were AN in December and normal for J and F. 1997-98 was a top 3. We had the massive NE Tennessee and then Plateau snow storms. December had several inches fall between Christmas and New Years. January was snowless here but NE areas got smashed late month. We got it a week later in Early February. Otherwise winter was mild. 2015-16 was a pretty snowy/cold winter for most of us I believe. So there's always a good chance of a big snow or several during the strongest Ninos. But the base pattern is likely to he N to AN temp wise.

Had another rowdy and loud thunderstorm about an hour ago that put down nearly half an inch of rain. I assume it will just add to the humidity tomorrow.

Just had another round of rain but the worst of the flooding has receeded. Plenty of neighborhoods near creeks were under 3 to 4 feet of water, and a highway is closed due to a rock slide. The main creek near my house rose around 8 feet in about as many hours. It was basically in a low to almost no flow state through one opening and around 12 inches deep where it goes under the bridge. Now it's flowing through all three openings and it's around the 9 feet deep mark. There was a fairly large area of Morgan, Scott, Campbell and areas just south/east that got 6-8 inches of rain.

Closing in on 6 inches of rain since yesterday now, with it still coming down pretty good right now. Only an occasional rumble of thunder.

The rain is done the opposite of busted today, and we are flooding. Heavy rain and thunder going on out there now. I've not looked at the rain gauge this morning yet, but 1.5 inches had fallen when I checked at midnight last night and it's poured all night since then.

The rain is delivering today. Heavy downpours and it actually thundered.

47-48 was around normal in Dec, cold and very snowy in Jan, AN in Feb. The cold wasn't extreme (nothing below -6) in January but persistent and it was around -7 for the month with 18 inches of snow here. 75-76 were similar but with about half the total snow here. Dec was around -2.5, January was around -5, Feb was AN but the biggest snow event was in Feb. January had a two decent snow events on the Plateau (3.5 and 5 inches), up into Pennington Gap/Wise, Va, that don't appear to have been much of anything outside of the Cumberland Mountain region. That led to 4 different mornings of below zero weather for here, Oneida, and Wise. Snow fell on 14 different days in the month in other areas but it was T to .5 inch amounts and lowest bottomed out around 1-3 in most of the area.

Managed some rain this evening but not a lot. Hopefully we get soaked tomorrow and Sunday.

The 06 GFS is advertising a ton of thunderstorms consistently across the area during the next two weeks, with around 8 inches of rain over my area. That would be both a drought buster, and would hopefully constrain the heat a little bit.

The 12z Euro came in looking like the GFS, or even hotter, for the lower elevations. 100+ for Nash, Knox, and Chattanooga next Saturday on it. The AI is still more in the low to mid 90s camp.

The GFS is still baking the heat into the area but the Euro/Euro AI are more reasonable looking. Still hot but 4-6 degrees cooler than the GFS is advertising. Looks like MRX has followed the Euro temp guidance for my area today vs the GFS yesterday. They had my high at 97 Wednesday during yesterdays forecast, today it's 93. The 12z GFS is showing 98 over my area Wed/Thur/Friday still but the Euro AI shows 90-92.

I hope we get some rain down between Friday night and Sunday. Temps near 100 showing up for next week will exacerbate the drought.

Ended up with .90, areas 10 or so miles south picked up around 1.5-2 inches. Fortunately its been cloudy and drizzly today with temps in the mid 60s. So the rain has been a able to soak in with not much evaporation loss.

It's like Cross Mountain is a wall these days where all rain goes to die. Heavy radar returns just fall apart and the rain just splits. I had about 10 minutes of a shower. I don't recall in my lifetime ever seeing rain dry out specifically over this small area so often. I've seen droughts before but this one seems like almost a micro drought.

Norris can use that water.

I managed .65 as things were mostly south or north of me.

I've gotten a few light showers, but just barely north of me .75 to 2 inches have fallen. I thought the storms in Kentucky were going to move south but they appear to be moving NE now.

Looks rough Daniel Boone's way, flash flood warning and a tornado warning both.

Already looking like tomorrow's rain will bust again here. Brutal. This fall will be rough if things don't change.

Managed 10 minutes of rain. Another big disappointment. Hopefully something else develops tonight. From here to SW Va it is extremely dry. Norris Lake is 15+ feet below normal summer pool for mid-June.

It's been raining down your way. Looks like you're getting more today. It's been dry up here.

Another day with 90 percent rain and storms that's probably going to miss here again unless we get some miracle developments.

The predicted rain and storms were indeed a total flop here. Not sure what's causing the bad bad model misses this spring and early summer.

Not sure if today is still a go for the storms or not. Everything that came along was south of here so far. If so, this will be the 3rd or 4th 80/90 percent rain chance day that was a total miss here in the last few weeks. That's way more than I can recall in such a short period.