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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    NAM has been trending towards the GFS and now Euro. Well it was fun while it lasted. Here's hoping the higher elevations still do well and I can get into some fun stuff Tuesday morning.
  2. Tyler Penland
    Even the HRRR has more than that. Actually the HRRR verbatim might have some thunder in convective bands late Monday. I really wonder what it is (or isn't) seeing.
  3. Tyler Penland
    Very dry layer at the surface. I've seen it sleet up around 51/52 degrees before, always weird.
  4. Tyler Penland
    The 3km actually closes the trough off over the lakes. Impressive.
  5. Tyler Penland
    A little OT but they closed it to sledding because of some stuff that happened last year. People (read: idiots) parking in the road and what not. We did OK in that event but definitely less than expected.
  6. Tyler Penland
    Well there's this. Bring it.
  7. Tyler Penland
    Euro and GFS both still like that vort swinging around the backside hitting the border counties. 12km NAM does as well. Further east track seems to make that vort more likely than the earlier further west runs.
  8. Tyler Penland
    NAM has come back west a bit at 12z. I don't think the shifts are anywhere near done.
  9. Tyler Penland
    I'm curious to see what this ULL/noreaster does to the pattern as a whole. Seen some wacky stuff out of the gfs in the long range. It could really shake things up.
  10. Tyler Penland
    Made it to 17 with a very heavy frost. More accumulated frozen stuff than we had the other day lol
  11. Tyler Penland
    Down to 23 already. High was 34 for about 45 minutes this afternoon.
  12. Tyler Penland
    Not a thing stuck here in Foscoe. A mile up the hill is absolutely gorgeous, though. Ole "no snow" Foscoe living up to it's name.
  13. Tyler Penland
    Steadiest snow of the event rigjt now but stuck at 33
  14. Tyler Penland
    Paltry rates since it switched over. Gonna have to see either bigger or more flakes to start sticking.
  15. Tyler Penland
    Finally over to snow at 36.0. Let's see what we can do.
  16. Tyler Penland
    Down to 37.9 and still falling quick. Should change soon.
  17. Tyler Penland
    Temp has stalled at 45 at the house and 43 here at the store in Blowing Rock. Hoping for a change around 7-8pm. Still plenty of moisture to swing through and should see some backfill with that weak low getting going over the coastal plain.
  18. Tyler Penland
    Got here about 45 min ago. Temps tanking now.
  19. Tyler Penland
    Anybody heard from the cold front? Still 51 here in Blowing Rock LOL
  20. Tyler Penland
    Yeah 1-3" above 3kft seems more likely. I'm here for anything tbh.
  21. Tyler Penland
    HRRR agrees on the burst of snow at the back. Actually changes 5kft and up over to snow by mid afternoon tomorrow
  22. Tyler Penland
    Brad Panovich posted this from I assume their in house model. Good look.
  23. Tyler Penland
    Yeah there has been a trend on the GFS/euro towards the cold outrunning the moisture a bit and a switchover to snow before precip ends. Interesting look I'm curious to see where it goes.
  24. Tyler Penland
    Yep. Got a solid dusting here which is more than I expected. We get skunked in the hole here in Foscoe on a lot of these NW flow events so anything more than a flurry is a win.
  25. Tyler Penland
    Here's a couple photos.
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