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wxmanmitch

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wxmanmitch

  1. Looks like around 8". Will go out and measure and snowblow in a bit. Sleet, 15.4° F.
  2. Congrats Burlington, VT? Even Dendrite gets a lot of pellets per the 12z NAM. What a disaster! No way I'm getting a 18-24" storm here now. 6-10" and then pellets/ZR should do it here, provided the front end performs as planned. It may torch into the 50s all the way to BOS with a low topped squall line featuring downpours and rumbles for you.
  3. 18" average. About 8-10" of hard styrofoam underneath from November and 8-10" of soft snow from last week.
  4. No way in hell Bennington gets 22". I'd say 12" there maximum, likely less. They'll get shadowed on the east wind and may flirt with pingers for a bit Sunday AM. You'll more likely avoid pingers at your latitude, but 22" still seems too high unless you get some midlevel fronto action. I'd go 14-18" for your spot. 22" maybe here IMBY if I can avoid pingers.
  5. 18z NAM seems to be keying on a midlevel frontogenesis band at 700 mb that runs from around BGM, GFL, RUT, LEB, to 1P1 give or take. This could very well be a high ratio fluff that adds up big time as the lift will be in the DGZ. You can see a secondary QPF max in this swath. Something to watch. Hopefully I can avoid pingers here, but it's going to be close the way it looks now .
  6. I can completely empathize with you there. Restaurants and bars are damn near impossible for me if they're noisy, which they usually are. Deaf in one ear, wear an aid in the other. Throw in being on the autism spectrum as well, and interpersonal communication is damn near impossible for me. I do the best I can, but I've never been good at socializing, networking, or making friends. Ironically enough, I have extreme difficulty with southern accents. I can understand northern accents (i.e. New York or Boston) much better than southern drawls. Maybe it's because I grew up in Connecticut (where we don't have accents at all). I can never understand people in fast food restaurants down south...I have to ask them to repeat several times.
  7. You should move to 2K+ in NNE, just sayin'...
  8. 14" two day total and it's still snowing. Clear skies overhead since the flow is blocked, but there is some spillover of the flakes to my spot.
  9. 14" two day total. Still light snow even though it's clear sky overhead, which is not uncommon in a blocked upslope event.
  10. At 64" now with the 9" total from this event so far.
  11. 8" new with moderate snow. It was very wet, but it's now drying out. Trees are bending a bit, but not at all like the post Thanksgiving storm. Roads are treacherous around here, especially route 8 through Searsburg Pass. Chains are required for truckers and route 9 in Woodford is currently closed due to the conditions. Just wet roads in the Deerfield Valley, however.
  12. 8" new snow with moderate upslope snow continuing. Snow was very wet earlier, but it's drying out now. Roads are treacherous around here with chain requirements for trucks on route 9 between Wilmington and Bennington. In fact, it looks to be closed in Woodford currently.
  13. I've been stuck at 32° F with fog since midday. We never mixed out the low level cold at the surface here. North Adams was partly sunny and up around 40° F. There was some freezing rain earlier, so midlevels are warm. Hopefully, the dynamics will cool the column quick enough so that I don't waste too much QPF as rain/freezing rain. How much of my snow comes from the CCB vs. the upslope will be interesting. Some of the models keep the upslope going into Thursday AM...
  14. 33° F and rain at 2,230' elevation from a coastal in early January. Has this ever happened before? Maybe someone can go check the scrolls... Sure, it's rained plenty of times here in January from cutters, but it's *HOW* we're getting this rain that's disturbing. What a disaster!!! Completely dumbfounded...
  15. Another cutter, another blank. Started briefly as sleet/snow mix but it went to pretty much straight sleet and then freezing rain. It was just barely below freezing and the rain was heavy, so it didn't appear to accrete much as it just dripped off the branches before it could really glaze. Now it's just dry CAA with no backside upslope. This icy mix, rain, and then dry CAA (maybe we get some tiny snow grain flurries from the upslope stratus, but that's about it) nonsense is really getting old fast. Extremely frustrating, especially when areas to my NE in NH and ME actually have warmer surface temperatures and are getting snow. Plymouth, NH gets 4" and a net gain out of this. It's all about the midlevels... Temperature held at 32° F until the cold front came through around 6:30 AM and mixed me out. Briefly spiked to 42° F, now 34° F and dropping so everything is refreezing. Pretty much no melt of the existing glacier leftover from Snowvember.
  16. You have more than I have. I've got half that at most. What's the elevation where you're at? Deepest packs right now are in shady, river ravines in the 1,500-2,000' range on the east slope. Above 2K is more susceptible to mixing and torching in the recent cutters. I was in the 40s on Friday, but some locales to my east never got much above freezing. I'm not expecting much snow here tomorrow evening at all, if any. BL temperatures are pretty much never an issue in these SWFE setups at the onset, it's always the stinking midlevels, so it'll probably be pellets and freezing rain for a while before things slowly change to rain after midnight.
  17. I've found the HRRR to be too cold here in several prior SWFEs this season. NAM is nada for here and much of VT as it starts as straight PL or ZR. The NAM seems to handle the thermals much better in the short range, so I'm riding that for tonight and tomorrow AM.
  18. Merry Christmas to all... Hopefully there will be plenty of snow going forward. We had about an inch of upslope here in Lenox last night, although I likely got a bit more at home above 2K.
  19. 2.38" storm total rainfall. The snow pack held up surprisingly well given that I mixed out and was warm for > 24 hours. Still total coverage. I haven't measured yet, but it looks like 4-7" on average. Upslope is cranking pretty good at the moment. Around 1/2" new and moderate snow. Hoping to get some of my snow back.
  20. 35.7° F and light rain. I wet bulbed down to 32.1° F when the rain started. It'll be interesting to see how long it takes for me to mix out. I tend to stay fogged in with calm to nearly calm wind a lot in these setups. Mesos are also advertising some upslope snows on Saturday post FROPA.
  21. Neither do I. The snowpack I have right now is a good base for sledding, cross country skiing, and downhill skiing (although they can make snow to recover) since it's solid. Even if some of my pack survives, it will be dirty and slushy (and then frozen). How much survives depends on how well the inversion holds and protects me from the torching SE wind. I'm frequently fogged in with little to no wind and cooler temperatures than pretty much everyone else around in setups like this, but this one may have enough of a gradient so that I get scoured out and torch. If I didn't have a pack, I wouldn't really care, and this is probably the case for pretty much everyone outside of elevated NNE.
  22. Had about 2" from the upslope last night. It was a dry, but a dense and graupel ridden snow. There's about a 12-13" glacier under the 2" or so of upslope on top. 48.3" for the season so far.
  23. Back to light sleet as precipitation winds down. This storm =
  24. Transitioning to parachutes now, finally. 29.6° F.
  25. We scalp. 28.7° F. Everything is icy. No changeover yet, beginning to doubt if we do.
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